Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Central Florida Knights Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/11/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Nov 08, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2023
Venue:  FBC Mortgage Stadium, Orlando, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  OK State -3, UCF +3; Over/Under:  64 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  OK State -2.5, UCF +2.5; Over/Under:  64.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  OK State -2.5, UCF +2.5; Over/Under:  64.5 points

Season Record

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  7-2 (5-1) (2nd place, Big 12)
Central Florida Knights:  4-5 (1-5) (13th place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Oklahoma State Cowboys:  won their last game at home against the Oklahoma Sooners 27-24.
Central Florida Knights:  won their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bearcats 28-26.


Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Central Florida Knights Preview and Analysis


Oklahoma State is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Oklahoma 27-24. Alan Bowman was the starting QB and he completed 28/42 passes for 334 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ollie Gordon led the team in rushing yards with 137 and 2 TDs. Rashod Owens led the receivers with 136 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Trey Rucker led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Xavier Benson and Anthony Goodlow each led the defense in sacks with 1. Dylan Smith came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Central Florida is entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 1-5 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Cincinnati 28-26. John Rhys Plumlee was the starting QB and he completed 13/23 passes for 165 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. RJ Harvey led the team in rushing yards with 164 and 3 TDs. Javon Baker led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Walter Yates III led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Tre'mon Morris-Brash led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Nikai Martinez came away with the only interception for them in that game.


Oklahoma State vs Central Florida Prediction

The current betting odds have Oklahoma State listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma State has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall and they have been getting even better in their games lately with their 5-1 conference record. Meanwhile, UCF hasn't looked good this season with their 4-5 record overall and their 1-5 record in conference games as all of their losses this season have come against Big 12 opponents and their only win in the conference coming against Cincinnati who was also joining the Big 12 this year just like UCF. UCF has started to look a lot better on offense in their games lately but their defense has still been a big problem for them as they do give up a ton of points and Oklahoma State will have the edge on defense with the way they have been playing. Oklahoma State also has a really good offense with Bowman leading the way and they will do some serious damage in this game against that UCF defense. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma State to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma State Central Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 11, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is OK State 41 UCF 35.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Oklahoma State Cowboys Central Florida Knights prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Oklahoma State Cowboys: 22-14 ATS in all games. 20-9 ATS in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70. 9-4 ATS in road games. 17-8 ATS against conference opponents. 30-17 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. 22-9 OVER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog.

Central Florida Knights: 3-6 ATS in all games. 1-5 ATS against conference opponents. 4-9 ATS after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. 5-1 OVER after a win by 6 or less points. 6-1 OVER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games.

Key Injuries


Oklahoma State Cowboys:  T. Shettron (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. B. Green (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Bray (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Wright (LB) out for season - Redshirt. D. Stribling (WR) out for season - Arm.

Central Florida Knights:  X. Townsend (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Magwood (WR) out for season - Redshirt. D. Mask (DB) out for season - Undisclosed. J. Davis (TE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“It’s a big game. And it’s good for the Oklahoma State people to finish Bedlam with a win. Period.” - Mike Gundy after his team’s win against OU in their last game. 


“A lot of work goes into what we do. Countless hours up at the facility with coaches. They work their butts off, too. So, we really, really try to enjoy wins because, man, they’re fun.” - John Rhys Plumlee after their win against Cincinnati in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Bray, Jaden 
WR Owens, Rashod   
WR Presley, Brennan 
TE Johnson, Josiah 
QB Bowman, Alan 
RB Gordon II, Ollie 
FB Cassity, Braden

Central Florida Knights
WR Baker, Javon 
WR Hudson, Kobe 
WR Townsend, Xavier 
TE Holler, Alec 
QB Plumlee, John Rhys 
RB Harvey, RJ

Statistical Leaders


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Passing: A. Bowman (1914)
Rushing: O. Gordon II (1224)
Receiving: R. Owens (445)
Touchdowns: O. Gordon II (13)

Central Florida Knights
Passing: J. Plumlee (1273)
Rushing: R. Harvey (871)
Receiving: J. Baker (678)
Touchdowns: R. Harvey (11)

Coaches:
Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (19th season)
Central Florida Knights: Gus Malzahn (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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