Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/01/2022

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 1, 2022

Venue:  McLane Stadium, Waco, TX

Where to Watch:  Fox

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma State +2.5, Baylor -2.5; Over/Under:  56 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma State +2.5, Baylor -2.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma State +2.5, Baylor -2.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

 

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  3-0 (0-0) (5th place, Big 12)

Baylor Bears:  3-1 (1-0) (2nd place, Big 12)

 

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Oklahoma State Cowboys:  won their last game at home against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions 63-7.

Baylor Bears:  won their last game on the road against the Iowa State Cyclones 31-24.

 

Oklahoma State is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 1st road game of the season here. This will also be their 1st conference game of the college football season this year. They won against the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions in their last game at home 63-7. Spencer Sanders started that game at QB and he completed 13/16 passes for 242 yards and 4 touchdowns. Ollie Gordon led the team in rushing with 65 yards and 1 TD on 3 rushing attempts. Braydon Johnson led the team in receiving with 86 yards and 2 TDs on 4 receptions. Aden Kelley led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Ben Kopenski led the defense in sacks with 2 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Baylor is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd home game of the season as they are 2-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 2nd conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-0. They won against the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game on the road 31-24. Blake Shapen started that game at QB and he completed 19/26 passes for 238 yards and 3 touchdowns. Richard Reese led the team in rushing with 78 yards and 1 TD on 21 carries. Gavin Holmes led the team in receiving with 92 yards and 1 TD on 3 receptions while De'Zhaun Stribling also had 84 receiving yards and 1 TD on 5 catches. AJ McCarty led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Bryson Jackson led the defense in sacks with 2 while Devin Neal and Christian Morgan each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Baylor listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Baylor already took a loss to BYU earlier in the year but they are still in a very good position to go to the Big 12 finals again after Oklahoma lost. Baylor won their 1st conference last week in a good road test beating out Iowa State by 7 points. Oklahoma State is off to a perfect start too but they just had a bye week so they will be a little rusty in this game having had 2 weeks off. They also haven't played many good teams with their last game before their bye coming against a team from the FCS. Baylor knows how to beat this Oklahoma State team from the title game last year and they will have their eyes set on winning that title again. They will be focused on staying perfect in the conference here and they know they need to get through this team with a win. Baylor is at home here and they have the better defense as well as a very good offense. The best way to place a bet here is on Baylor to cover the spread in this game.

 

Oklahoma State Baylor Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 1, 2022 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Baylor 28 Oklahoma State 21.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys: 12-7 ATS against conference opponents. 9-1 UNDER in road games. 8-0 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs.

Baylor Bears: 2-9 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. 8-2 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 13-8 UNDER in games played on turf.

 

 

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  J. Bray (WR) Prob Sat - Arm. B. Green (WR) Ques Sat - Wrist.

Baylor Bears:  T. McWilliams (RB) Doub Sat - Undisclosed.

 

 

“It’ll set the tone for Big 12 play. There are only three undefeated (Big 12) teams ... I’d like to stay in that group. Being undefeated is a major deal to make it to the final goal of the playoffs and national championship. Obviously, that’s something we want to do.” - Brock Martin on this upcoming game against Baylor.

 

 

"I know it's a tough place to play. It's just a difficult place. They never beat themselves. You have to win it." - Dave Aranda after his team’s win against ISU in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Green, Bryson 

WR Johnson, Braydon

WR Richardson, John Paul

WR Presley, Brennan 

QB Sanders, Spencer

RB Richardson, Dominic

 

WR Presley, Hal

WR Jones, Seth

WR Baldwin, Monaray 

TE Sims, Ben 

QB Shapen, Blake 

RB Jones, Qualan 

 

 

Passing: S. Sanders (916)

Rushing: D. Richardson (215)

Receiving: B. Johnson (300)

Touchdowns: S. Sanders (3) 

 

Passing: B. Shapen (773)

Rushing: R. Reese (315)

Receiving: G. Holmes (157)

Touchdowns: R. Reese (6)

 

Coaches:

Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (18th season)

Baylor Bears: Dave Aranda (3rd season)