by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 30, 2025
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 1, 2025
Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Oklahoma +3, Tennessee -3; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Oklahoma +3, Tennessee -3; Over/Under: 56 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Oklahoma +3, Tennessee -3; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Season Record
Oklahoma Sooners: 6-2 (2-2) (9th place, SEC)
Tennessee Volunteers: 6-2 (3-2) (7th place, SEC)
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Oklahoma Sooners: lost their last game at home against the Mississippi Rebels 34-26.
Tennessee Volunteers: won their last game on the road against the Kentucky Wildcats 56-34.
Oklahoma Sooners vs Tennessee Volunteers Preview and Analysis
Oklahoma is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Ole Miss 34-26. John Mateer was the starting QB and he completed 17/31 passes for 223 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Xavier Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 109 and 2 TDs. Isaiah Sategna led the receivers with 131 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Kip Lewis led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Marvin Jones Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Tennessee is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Kentucky 56-34. Joey Aguilar was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 396 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Star Thomas led the team in rushing yards with 64 and 1 TD. Chris Brazzell II led the receivers with 138 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Edwin Spillman led the defense in that game with 13 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Dominic Bailey led the defense in sacks with 1. Edrees Farooq came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Oklahoma vs Tennessee Prediction
The current betting odds have Oklahoma listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall, but their 2-2 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They are off a 34-26 loss to Ole Miss in their last one, but they will be looking to bounce back in this one with their season on the line. They can't really afford to lose another game if they want to make the playoffs so they are going to bring their best effort for this game. Meanwhile, Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them higher in the SEC. Their offense has been rolling all year with one of the best offenses in the nation, but their defense hasn't looked good at all. They have been giving up a ton of points all season and they are off a 56-34 win over Kentucky in their last one, still giving up a ton of points to one of the worst offenses in the SEC. Oklahoma's offense hasn't looked great at times, but they are going to be able to put up points on that Tennessee defense. Tennessee definitely has the better offense, but Oklahoma still has a really good defense and they aren't going to look as bad as they did against Ole Miss in their last one. Both teams need to win this game to keep their playoff hopes alive, but Oklahoma is the team looking to bounce back after a bad loss at home and their much better defense will be the key to winning this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma to cover the spread in this game.
Oklahoma Tennessee Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 1, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 31 Tennessee 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Oklahoma Sooners: 1-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 3-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 9-5 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 9-5 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more.
Tennessee Volunteers: 6-3 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 6-3 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 rushing yards/carry or less. 4-1 UNDER at home when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Oklahoma Sooners: J. Taylor (OG) Out - Undisclosed. J. Sexton (OG) Out - Undisclosed. L. Howland (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Simmons (OG) Doubtful - Undisclosed. K. McKinzie (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lewis (WR) Doubtful - Undisclosed. T. Tatum (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Williams (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Barnes (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Everett (OG) Out - Undisclosed.
Tennessee Volunteers: T. Smith Jr. (WR) Out - Undisclosed. A. Carter (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Gibson III (CB) Out - Undisclosed. J. McCoy (CB) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“He’s a winner. It’s what he’s done against everybody. But we needed to play better (to) have a chance to win. We needed to do a better job against him. So I didn’t have them ready to do that.” - Brent Venables after his team’s loss against Ole Miss in their last game.
“You look at the turnovers defensively, they changed the way the game was played. I’m proud of the way our guys competed, coming on the road, getting a win against a team that took Texas to overtime a week ago. There’s things we can certainly clean up, and we’ll need to as we keep going through conference play.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Kentucky in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Oklahoma Sooners
WR Lewis, Keontez
WR Burks, Deion
WR Sategna III, Isaiah
TE Kanak, Jaren
QB Mateer, John
RB Blaylock, Tory
Tennessee Volunteers
WR Matthews, Mike
WR Brazzell II, Chris
WR Staley, Braylon
TE Kitselman, Miles
QB Aguilar, Joey
RB Bishop, DeSean
Statistical Leaders
Oklahoma Sooners
Passing: John Mateer (1,790)
Rushing: Tory Blaylock (401)
Receiving: Isaiah Sategna III (624)
Touchdowns: John Mateer (5)
Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: Joey Aguilar (2,344)
Rushing: DeSean Bishop (652)
Receiving: Chris Brazzell II (740)
Touchdowns: DeSean Bishop (9)
Coaches:
Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (4th season)
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
