Oklahoma Sooners vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/01/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Feb 28, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 1, 2023
Venue:  Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +6, KSU -6; Over/Under:  141 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +6, KSU -6; Over/Under:  141 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +6, KSU -6; Over/Under:  141 points

Season Record

Oklahoma Sooners:  14-15 (4-12) (10th place, Big 12)
Kansas State Wildcats:  22-7 (10-6) (4th place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Oklahoma Sooners:  2-3  last 5
Kansas State Wildcats:  3-2  last 5


Oklahoma Sooners vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis


Oklahoma is coming into this game with a 14-15 record overall and they are 2-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 4-12 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game off of a win against the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. Jacob Groves led the team in points in that game with 16 while Grant Sherfield was next on the team with 10 points. Milos Uzan led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Tanner Groves led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 46.3% from the field, 43.5% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 68 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. Oklahoma has an ATS record of 13-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-13-1.


Kansas State is coming into this game with a 22-7 record overall and they are 15-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 10-6 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Iowa State Cyclones, the Baylor Bears, and the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game. Markquis Nowell led the team in points in that game with 22 while Keyontae Johnson was next on the team with 17 points. Markquis Nowell led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Keyontae Johnson and Markquis Nowell each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 49% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 85% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68 PPG against them. Kansas State has an ATS record of 20-9 this season and their O/U record is 14-15.



Oklahoma vs Kansas State Prediction

The current betting odds have Kansas State listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas State enters this game as a ranked team and they were going through a bit of a rough patch just a few weeks ago but they have started to get back on track lately. They are 22-7 overall this season and have been one of the better teams in the Big 12 this season with their 10-6 conference record. They have been a really good home team though as they are 15-1 in their home games and they have a lot of momentum on their side again with 3 wins in a row now. Oklahoma has been having a terrible season with their losing 14-15 record overall and they have been one of the worst teams in the Big 12 with their 4-12 conference record. They finally got a win in their last game to snap a long losing streak but they have still been terrible in their road games with a 2-7 road record and they are going to revert back to the same team they have been all season in this game. Kansas State has been a real threat all season and now that they are back on track winning games again, they are a real threat to do something in the NCAA Tournament so they will use this game as a way to get ready. The best way to place a bet here is on Kansas State to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 1, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is KSU 74 Oklahoma 66.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Oklahoma Sooners: 4-10 ATS off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 points or more. 23-16 UNDER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. 30-13 UNDER after allowing 50 points or less. 
Kansas State Wildcats: 12-3 ATS as a favorite. 11-4 ATS in all home games. 28-19 UNDER in all home games. 

Key Injuries


Oklahoma Sooners:  B. Cortes (G) Out indefinitely - Personal. Y. Keita (F) out for season - Shin.
Kansas State Wildcats:  J. Colbert (C) out for season - Redshirt. A. Thomas (G) out for season - Redshirt. T. Manning (F) out for season - Redshirt.

Notable Quotes


"Everybody has to follow Jalen's lead. Jalen has been the most consistent guy day in and day out. Offensively and defensively, he's by far our most consistent. We've got to have other guys following his lead." - Porter Moser on Jalen Hill in their games this season and the impact he is having. 


"Any time you get a win, it's satisfying, and I know they're fired up because we're going to Marble Slab. Road dubs (wins), you get dessert, so here we go." - Jerome Tang after his team’s win against Oklahoma State in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Oklahoma Sooners
J. Groves 
T. Groves 
J. Hill 
G. Sherfield
M. Uzan

Kansas State Wildcats
C. Carter 
K. Johnson 
D. N'Guessan 
M. Nowell 
N. Tomlin

Statistical Leaders


Oklahoma Sooners
PPG: G. Sherfield (16.3)
APG: G. Sherfield (3.3)
Reb/G: T. Groves (7)

Kansas State Wildcats
PPG: K. Johnson (17.6)
APG: M. Nowell (7.6)
Reb/G: K. Johnson (7.1)

Coaches:
Oklahoma Sooners: Porter Moser (2nd season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Jerome Tang (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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