Oklahoma Sooners vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/07/2026

Game Time: 7:45 pm ET, Saturday, November 7, 2026

Venue:  Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +6.5, Florida -6.5; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +6.5, Florida -6.5; Over/Under:  45 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Oklahoma +6, Florida -6; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Oklahoma Sooners:  4-4 (2-3) (11th place, SEC)

Florida Gators:  5-3 (3-3) (10th place, SEC)

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Oklahoma Sooners:  lost their last game at home against the South Carolina Gamecocks 42-25.

Florida Gators:  lost their last game at a neutral site against the Georgia Bulldogs 27-8.

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against South Carolina 42-25. John Mateer was the starting QB and he completed 26/43 passes for 244 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tory Blaylock led the team in rushing yards with 32. Ivan Carreon led the receivers with 88 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Courtland Guillory and Owen Heinecke each led the defense in that game with 10 tackles while Kip Lewis and Danny Okoye each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Kip Lewis, Michael Boganowski, and Markel Ford each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Florida is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 27-8. Tramell Jones was the starting QB and he completed 18/25 passes for 172 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jadan Baugh led the team in rushing yards with 38. Bailey Stockton led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 8 receptions. DJ Coleman led the defense in that game with 8 tackles while Emmanuel Oyebadejo led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall and their 3-3 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have looked good on their home field too with their 3-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Oklahoma hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 4-4 record overall and their 2-3 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They haven't been a good road team either with their 1-2 road record this year. Oklahoma entered the season ranked as one of the best teams in the nation after making a trip to the CFP last season, but this year has been a disaster for them. They have had one of the worst offenses in the SEC and they have had a lot of trouble putting up points in their games every week. They did have one of the best defenses in the SEC still, but even that is gone now as they have looked terrible lately. They are coming off a 42-25 loss to South Carolina in their last one and now they have to go on the road where they have had more trouble this season. Florida looked terrible in their last one, losing 27-8 to Georgia, but Florida has been really up and down like that all season and Georgia might be the best team in the nation too. Florida definitely has some head scratchers, but they have also picked up some really good wins along the way and they will be looking to bounce back at home after that embarrassing loss. They have looked a lot better in their home games this year and they are going to bring their best effort to bounce back against a dead Oklahoma team. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Oklahoma Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 7, 2026 (7:45 pm ET start time) is Florida 24 Oklahoma 10.

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Oklahoma Sooners: 10-16 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival. 7-14 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 5-10 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite. 12-6 UNDER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 9-4 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att.

Florida Gators: 6-2 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points. 4-0 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 120 rushing yards/game or less. 18-10 ATS in games played on a grass field. 6-3 UNDER as a home favorite. 

Oklahoma Sooners:  E. Thomas (WR) Questionable - Lower Body. T. Harris (WR) Out - Back.

Florida Gators:  V. Brown III (WR) Questionable - Knee. A. Philo (QB) Questionable - Shoulder. D. Groce (WR) Out - Undisclosed. K. Jimenez (RB) Out - Undisclosed.

“We got our ass whooped tonight in every way. Really disappointed. I watched the game, everybody else watched the game. They were a more physical team and created explosive plays. We couldn't get any offensive rhythm in the first half. We're not built to overcome some of the ineptness as a football team that we displayed out there tonight.” - Brent Venables after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game. 

“Georgia, I think they’re really good. I think they’re well-coached. Got a lot of respect for them. They didn’t need our help tonight, but we gave it to them, and they won the game. The Gators didn’t help the Gators enough tonight.” - Jon Sumrall after his team’s loss against Georgia in their last game. 

WR Carreon, Ivan

WR Choice, Manny

WR Sategna III, Isaiah

TE Beers, Rocky

QB Mateer, John

RB Avant, Lloyd

WR Wilson, Dallas

WR Singleton Jr., Eric

WR Stockton, Bailey

TE Dippre, Lacota

QB Jones Jr., Tramell

RB Baugh, Jadan

Passing: John Mateer (1,835)

Rushing: Lloyd Avant (347)

Receiving: Isaiah Sategna III (591)

Touchdowns: Rocky Beers (4)

Passing: Aaron Philo (1,367)

Rushing: Jadan Baugh (801)

Receiving: Dallas Wilson (417)

Touchdowns: Jadan Baugh (13)

Coaches:

Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (5th season)

Florida Gators: Jon Sumrall (1st season)