Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/28/2026

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 28, 2026

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +3.5, Spurs -3.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +3.5, Spurs -3.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +3.5, Spurs -3.5; Over/Under:  218.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  64-18 (1st place, Northwest Division)

San Antonio Spurs:  62-20 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

San Antonio Spurs:  6-4 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 64-18 record overall this season and they were 30-10 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the San Antonio Spurs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 32 while Alex Caruso was next on the team with 22 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 48.2% from the field, 43.8% from 3-point range, and 86.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 47-48 this season and their O/U record is 53-42.

The Spurs are entering the playoffs with a 62-20 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Stephon Castle led the team in points in that game with 24 while Julian Champagnie was next on the team with 22 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Julian Champagnie led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 40.2% from the field, 29.3% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 56-41-2 this season and their O/U record is 47-52.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 60-22 record overall which had them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 32-8 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 64-18 record overall which had them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 30-10 road record this year. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 2nd seeded Spurs for the Western Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder are entering this game with a 3-2 series lead after winning game 5 by a score of 127-114. The Spurs have given the Thunder a lot of trouble this season and they have put up a good fight in this series since the Thunder were undefeated coming in, but it looks like the playoff experience is starting to take over for the Thunder now. The Spurs are still a really young team that doesn't have playoff experience to lean on and it is starting to show now. They won that 1st game in this series on the road, but they haven't looked nearly as good in their last 2 road games now and it is tough to see them winning on the road again in this series. The Thunder have pretty much been in control since that 1st game and they have been really good as an underdog this season too. The Spurs have been one of the best teams in the NBA all season, but they just don't look ready yet to take down the defending champions and this will be the game where the Thunder flex their muscles on the road and close out the series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Spurs Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, May 28, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 120 Spurs 114.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 10-17 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 3-7 ATS on the road against Southwest division opponents. 1-5 ATS on the road when attempting to close out a playoff series. 8-2 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 29-17 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

San Antonio Spurs: 23-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-4 ATS off a road loss. 38-25 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 9-4 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 7-3 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  J. Williams (SF) Day To Day - Hamstring. A. Mitchell (SG) Day To Day - Calf. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

San Antonio Spurs:  D. Jones Garcia (SF) Out For Season - Ankle.

“We obviously played a lot better, in terms of our process and then also the outcome. It's a playoff series. If you look at any playoff series that goes to six games, at least, there's going to be some tough games. We had a tough game the other night. This team does a great job of just coming back in the next day in a very neutral way, taking whatever the lessons are, applying them forward and getting into the next opportunity.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Spurs in the 5th game of this series on Tuesday. 

“It just felt like it was a little bit of everything in terms of we did not put ourselves in position enough to be successful on each possession. And so, to beat a team of this caliber, in their building, with the stakes, we'll need to be a lot better to give yourself a chance.” - Mitch Johnson after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 5 of this series on Tuesday. 

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Cason Wallace

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.4)

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (25)

APG: Stephon Castle (7.4)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11.5)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)