Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/04/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Venue:  Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Spurs +2.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Spurs +2.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -2.5, Spurs +2.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  39-11 (1st place, Northwest Division)

San Antonio Spurs:  33-16 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10

San Antonio Spurs:  6-4 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 39-11 record overall this season and they are 18-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Orlando Magic still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Nuggets, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 34 while Cason Wallace was next on the team with 27 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Cason Wallace and Aaron Wiggins each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 47.1% from the field, 39.6% from 3-point range, and 81.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 24-26 this season and their O/U record is 25-25.

The Spurs are entering this game with a 33-16 record overall this season and they are 17-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Orlando Magic. Victor Wembanyama led the team in points in that game with 25 while Devin Vassell was next on the team with 16 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Keldon Johnson led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50% from the field, 27.6% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.9 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 25-23-2 this season and their O/U record is 18-32.

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 33-16 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 17-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 39-11 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 18-6 road record this year. The Thunder won the NBA Championship last season with the best record in the league and they once again have the best record this season. They were on a historic pace to start the year, but they have slowed down a lot over the last 2 months. They still have one of the best teams in the NBA, but lately they have been dealing with some injuries and haven't looked as good. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are off a road win over the Nuggets in their last one too, but they could still be missing some key players in this game. They aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on a back-to-back with a game against the Magic on Tuesday night that isn't going to be an easy one. The Spurs are also 6-4 in their last 10 games and coming into this one with some momentum from a win over the Magic in their last one. They are also in the better situation here, being at home with the rest on their side, and they have been a thorn in the Thunder's side all season. Look for the Spurs to continue giving the Thunder trouble in this game like they have all year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Spurs Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, February 4, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Spurs 106 Thunder 101.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 12-18 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 3-7 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 2-5 ATS on the road against Southwest division opponents. 38-28 UNDER against Southwest division opponents.

San Antonio Spurs: 20-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 40-29 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 27-21 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 17-10 UNDER revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  S. Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) Day To Day - Finger. I. Hartenstein (C) Day To Day - Soleus. J. Williams (PF) Day To Day - Shoulder. C. Holmgren (C) Day To Day - Back. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Hip. A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Adductor. J. Williams (SG) Out - Thigh. N. Topic (PG) Out - Groin. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

San Antonio Spurs:  S. Castle (PG) Day To Day - Adductor. J. Sochan (PF) Day To Day - Quad.

"We were just sharper all the way around. We had an up-and-down stretch that happened to fall in a condensed part of the schedule. We're not one to overreact to that and there's very little reaction to last game tonight. We just wanted to see where we were and let the guys respond. We came out, we were sharper. I thought we were fresher and way more like ourselves." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Nuggets in their game on Sunday.

"We know what to expect with our schedule and we know we got to continue to just come together and get it done." - Mitch Johnson after his team’s win against the Magic in their game on Sunday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Aaron Wiggins

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Devin Vassell

PF Julian Champagnie

C Victor Wembanyama

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (10)

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (24.1)

APG: Stephon Castle (7)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (11)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)