Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/25/2026

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 25, 2026

Venue:  Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ 

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -9.5, Suns +9.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -9.5, Suns +9.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -9.5, Suns +9.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  64-18 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Phoenix Suns:  45-37 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

Phoenix Suns:  4-6 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 64-18 record overall this season and they were 30-10 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns twice in a row. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 37 while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren each were next on the team with 19 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 47.3% from the field, 35% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 40-44 this season and their O/U record is 44-40.

The Suns are entering the playoffs with a 45-37 record overall this season and they were 25-16 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder twice in a row. Dillon Brooks led the team in points in that game with 30 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 22 points. Collin Gillespie led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Royce O'Neale led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 45.9% from the field, 35.5% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.1 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 49-37 this season and their O/U record is 38-48.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 64-18 record overall which had them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 30-10 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Suns have looked good in their games this season with their 45-37 record overall which had them right in the middle of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 25-16 home record this season. This is game 3 of a 7-game series between the 1 seeded Thunder and the 8 seeded Suns in the West for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder are entering this game with a 2-0 series lead after winning game 2 by a score of 120-107. The Thunder are the defending NBA champions from last year and they haven't looked any different this season with the best record in the NBA. They have been rolling lately too with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games and now they have a 2-0 series lead. They have had complete control of both games in this series with both wins coming by double digits. They were even up 100-77 at the end of the 3rd quarter in the last game and let the Suns come back a bit in the 4th, but the Suns haven't been anywhere near the Thunder in this series. The Suns have looked a lot better on their home court this season so they will put up a better fight in these next 2 games, but they still don't have the talent to compete with the best that the NBA has to offer. The Thunder swept their 1st round series on their way to the Finals last year and they look like a team that is going to sweep their 1st round matchup once again this season. Look for the Thunder to continue rolling in this one and beat up on a Suns team that looks like they have been running out of gas over the last month of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Suns Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, April 25, 2026 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 123 Suns 109.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 35-20 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 24-17 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 4-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 7-3 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs. 

Phoenix Suns: 24-34 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 4-10 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 1-5 ATS in the first round of the playoffs. 61-36 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  J. Williams (SF) Day To Day - Hamstring. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

Phoenix Suns:  J. Goodwin (PG) Day To Day - Calf. M. Williams (C) Day To Day - Foot.

“Shai made the right play all night. His floor game was outstanding. He seemed to spray it all over the place, had a great tempo and got us really good shots.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Suns in the 2nd game of this series on Wednesday. 

"We're trying to blitz to create some energy. We shouldn't be asking for energy. We want to get to March to play meaningful games. We shouldn't be asking for energy." - Jordan Ott after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 2 of this series on Wednesday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Devin Booker

SG Jalen Green

SF Jordan Goodwin

PF Dillon Brooks

C Oso Ighodaro

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.4)

PPG: Devin Booker (26.1)

APG: Devin Booker (6)

Reb/G: Mark Williams (8)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

Phoenix Suns: Jordan Ott (1st season)