Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/19/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, December 19, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -7.5, Timberwolves +7.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -7.5, Timberwolves +7.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -7.5, Timberwolves +7.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  24-2 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  17-10 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  9-1 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 24-2 record overall this season and they are 12-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Los Angeles Clippers still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Spurs, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 29 while Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams each were next on the team with 17 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 41.3% from the field, 24.3% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.3 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 14-12 this season and their O/U record is 14-12.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 17-10 record overall this season and they are 9-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Memphis Grizzlies. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 21 while Donte DiVincenzo was next on the team with 19 points. Jaden McDaniels led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 39.8% from the field, 29.5% from 3-point range, and 70.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 10-17 this season and their O/U record is 13-14.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 7.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 17-10 record overall which has them right in the top half of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 9-5 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 24-2 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have also been a great road team this year with their 12-1 road record. The Thunder are the defending NBA champions and they have been rolling over teams all year. They finally hit a snag in the NBA Cup though, losing to the Spurs in a game that snapped their 16 game winning streak. They will be looking to bounce back here and they do have some rest on their side with that game being last Saturday, but they are also playing this game on a back-to-back. The Timberwolves are also off a loss in their last one, losing at home to the Grizzlies, but they will be looking to bounce back and they are going to bring their best effort for the defending champions. The Timberwolves aren't on a back-to-back either so they do have some rest on their side, and they have been rolling in their games lately too, going 7-3 in their last 10. The Thunder lost some of their momentum with that loss in the NBA Cup and the Timberwolves can take advantage of that at home to keep this a closer game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, December 19, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 117 Timberwolves 113.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 131-91 ATS in all games. 35-21 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 19-13 OVER when playing on back-to-back days. 63-45 OVER after playing a home game.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 18-27 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 11-21 1H ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 10-4 OVER as a home underdog. 5-1 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  I. Hartenstein (C) Out - Foot. J. Williams (PF) Out - Foot. N. Topic (PG) Out - Groin. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  M. Conley (PG) Day To Day - Achilles. A. Edwards (SG) Day To Day - Foot.

“When you play close games, you’re not going to win them all. I thought we put ourselves in a tough position there, playing from behind down the stretch.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Spurs in the NBA Cup Semi-Finals on Saturday.

"Horrendous night offensively. Our offensive decision-making was awful all night, from shot selection to turnovers to execution. Yeah, it was just not very good." - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Grizzlies in their game on Wednesday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Kenrich Williams

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Jaylen Clark

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32.4)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (10.6)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.7)

APG: Julius Randle (5.7)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (10.5)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)