Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/09/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Mar 08, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 9, 2022
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +14.5, Timberwolves -14.5; Over/Under:  231 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +14.5, Timberwolves -14.5; Over/Under:  232 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +14.5, Timberwolves -14.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points
 

Season Record

Oklahoma City Thunder:  20-44 (5th place, Northwest Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  37-29 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
 
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Oklahoma City Thunder:  3-7 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Oklahoma City Thunder Analysis

The Thunder are coming into this game with a 20-44 record overall and they are 11-21 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Denver Nuggets while their 3 losses in that span came against the Sacramento Kings, the Minnesota Timberwolves, and the Utah Jazz in their last game. They still have a game against the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday night that needs to be played first so this will the be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Wednesday night. In their game against the Jazz, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 33 while Aleksej Pokuševski was next on the team with 12 points. Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Pokuševski led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 42.4% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 102.1 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 38-22-4 this season and their O/U record is 30-34.
 
 

Minnesota Timberwolves Analysis

The Timberwolves are coming into this game with a 37-29 record overall and they are 21-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Philadelphia 76ers while their 6 wins in that span have come against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Golden State Warriors, the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the Portland Trail Blazers twice including their last game. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in points in that game with 27 while Malik Beasley was next on the team with 19 points. Patrick Beverley led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Towns led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 41.3% from the field, 30.2% from 3-point range, and 79.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 111.8 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 35-29-2 this season and their O/U record is 41-25.
 
 

 

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction

The Thunder have not been playing well recently, losing 3 of their last 4 games and a lot of those losses have been by double digits. They are missing most of their team right now due to injury and they only have 1 of their starters still healthy and playing at full strength. Shai is a very good player but he is not enough to carry this team by himself and they are going up against a Timberwolves team that has been playing very well right now. The Timberwolves have won their last 5 straight games and they have not just been winning games though, they have been winning their games by double digits against some of the best teams in the NBA in that span. They are a bit banged up here as well but they still have most of their key players for this game and they have been much better at home this season. Until the Thunder get a little healthier they are going to continue losing games in very bad fashion and the Timberwolves are not really an easy team to get a win against. The Timberwolves will power past the Thunder at home here and win another game by double digits adding to their recent streak.
 
Thunder Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 9, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 118 Thunder 94.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Oklahoma City Thunder: 40-22 ATS in all games. 56-31 ATS as a road underdog. 10-5 OVER in the second half of the season.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 16-24 ATS off a home win. 41-25 OVER in all games. 11-2 OVER after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
 

Key Injuries

 
Oklahoma City Thunder:  I. Roby (SF) Ques Tues - Back injury. D. Favors (PF) Ques Tues - Back injury. K. Williams (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. M. Muscala (PF) Mid March - Ankle injury. L. Dort (SG) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury. J. Giddey (SG) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. J. Robinson-Earl (SF) Mid March - Foot injury.
Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Edwards (SG) Ques Wed - Knee injury. D. Russell (PG) Ques Wed - Hamstring injury. J. Nowell (SG) Ques Wed - Undisclosed injury. M. Wright IV (PG) Mid March - Elbow injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Guys just kind of played through it, scrambled, executed anyways. Used our toughness and our scrap kind of to junk the game up a little bit, which we kind of had to do tonight to keep ourselves in it and give ourselves a chance." - Mark Daigneault on his team’s loss against the Jazz on Sunday night.
 
 
"It's an outstanding sports town. We just got to give them a reason to keep coming out. This is a team a lot of people like to watch play. ... It feels like we got something growing here and we've just got to keep building on it." - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers on Monday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG     Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG     Aaron Wiggins
SF     Aleksej Pokusevski
PF     Darius Bazley
C     Isaiah Roby
 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PG     Patrick Beverley
SG     Malik Beasley
SF     Taurean Prince
PF     Jarred Vanderbilt
C     Karl-Anthony Towns
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (24)
APG: J. Giddey (6.4)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.8)
 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: K. Towns (24.7)
APG: D. Russell (7)
Reb/G: K. Towns (9.7)
 
Coaches:
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (2nd season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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