Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/13/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, February 13, 2025

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -4.5, Timberwolves +4.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -4.5, Timberwolves +4.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -4.5, Timberwolves +4.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  43-9 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  30-24 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 43-9 record overall this season and they are 18-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Phoenix Suns, the Toronto Raptors, the Memphis Grizzlies, and the New Orleans Pelicans, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Miami Heat still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Pelicans, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 31 while Aaron Wiggins was next on the team with 24 points. Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, and Dillon Jones each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Isaiah Hartenstein led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 51.6% from the field, 49.1% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 104.8 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 32-18-3 this season and their O/U record is 28-23-2.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 30-24 record overall this season and they are 15-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Milwaukee Bucks still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Cavaliers, Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 44 while Rob Dillingham was next on the team with 13 points. Naz Reid led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 40% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 76.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 23-30-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-25.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 43-9 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team this year with their 18-6 road record too. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 30-24 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West, but that record only has them in the first play-in spot and right outside of a true playoff spot. They have been good on their home court this year too, but they haven't been a great team at home with their 15-12 home record. Their struggles at home have been a big reason as to why they are in the middle of the pack in the West, but they have looked a lot better lately. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games, but the Thunder have also been hot with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games. This isn't a good situation for either team since both teams are playing this game on a back-to-back and this is also the last game before the NBA All-Star break. The Thunder do have to travel for this game while the Timberwolves don't, but the injuries for the Timberwolves in this game are much worse. The Thunder have more players on the injury report, but they are all depth players while the Timberwolves are missing some key players in the lineup and have others who are also banged up. This will be a tough situation for both teams, but the Thunder have the better roster to deal with this situation and they have been more consistent all season so look for them to go into the break on a good note. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 13, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 120 Timberwolves 102.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 23-15 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 35-20 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 38-21 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 23-15 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 

Minnesota Timberwolves: 19-29 ATS in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 6-12 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 23-12 OVER when playing on back-to-back days. 23-15 OVER after a loss by 6 points or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  C. Holmgren (PF) Out - Rest. O. Dieng (SF) Out - Calf. C. Wallace (SG) Out - Shoulder. I. Joe (SG) Day To Day - Knee. A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Toe. N. Topić (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Edwards (SG) Day To Day - Hip. M. Conley (PG) Day To Day - Finger. J. Randle (PF) Out - Groin. D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out - Toe.

"We want to be a team that takes what the defense gives and tries to find the best shot. If the threes go down on that night like tonight, that's a luxury. If they don't, then we've got to find other ways to score." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Pelicans in their game on Monday.

"On the defensive end, I thought we were forcing some stops, but they got a lot of offensive rebounds. And this team, when you watch them and you study them, Cleveland that is, they usually beat teams with one big run, and they got that run in the first quarter right out of the gate." - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Cavaliers in their game on Monday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Aaron Wiggins

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Naz Reid

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.6)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (12.1)

PPG: A. Edwards (27.5)

APG: M. Conley (4.6)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.4)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)