Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/29/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, January 29, 2026

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5.5, Timberwolves +5.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5.5, Timberwolves +5.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -5.5, Timberwolves +5.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  38-10 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  28-19 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  4-6 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 38-10 record overall this season and they are 17-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New Orleans Pelicans. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 29 while Chet Holmgren was next on the team with 20 points. Jaylin Williams led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 40.2% from the field, 34.2% from 3-point range, and 91.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 23-25 this season and their O/U record is 23-25.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 28-19 record overall this season and they are 16-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Golden State Warriors, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Dallas Mavericks still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Warriors, Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 18 while Bones Hyland was next on the team with 17 points. Donte DiVincenzo led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 45.7% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 20-27 this season and their O/U record is 22-25.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 38-10 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 17-5 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 28-19 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 16-8 home record this season. The Timberwolves have been a solid team all season and they have given the Thunder some trouble this year, but lately they haven't looked great and they are a bit banged up now too. They are off a win over the Warriors in their last one, but that win snapped a losing streak they were on and they are only 4-6 in their last 10 games. They aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on a back-to-back with a game against the Mavericks the night before. That gives the Thunder a big rest advantage here since they aren't on a back-to-back, and the Thunder have been starting to roll again in their games lately. The Thunder are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they are off a win over the Pelicans in their last one. They are also a bit banged up, but the key players will be in the lineup and they have enough talent to beat up on a Timberwolves team that is also banged up and on no rest. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 29, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 122 Timberwolves 108.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 4-8 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 2-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 8-14 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 8-4 OVER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 

Minnesota Timberwolves: 12-3 ATS as a home underdog. 17-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 49-30 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 10-5 OVER as a home underdog.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  C. Wallace (SG) Day To Day - Hip. A. Mitchell (SG) Day To Day - Hip. A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Adductor. I. Hartenstein (C) Day To Day - Calf. J. Williams (SG) Out - Thigh. N. Topic (PG) Out - Groin. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  L. Miller (SF) Day To Day - Back. A. Edwards (SG) Day To Day - Injury Management. T. Shannon Jr. (SG) Out - Foot.

"I think that's a foul on Dort. And if it was, they should put a whistle on that play regardless of the score and time because if they do that, everybody stops playing and you can legislate the situation as you normally would. But because they didn't put a whistle on it, it's the end of the game. They can do nothing about it, and you end up with that situation." - Mark Daigneault on the scuffle at the end of the game after his team’s win against the Pelicans on Tuesday.

"Yeah, it was news to me, honestly. He had pain from the foot that’s been troubling him." - Chris Finch on the injury to Anthony Edwards.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Aaron Wiggins

PF Chet Holmgren

C Jaylin Williams

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.2)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (10.4)

PPG: Anthony Edwards (29.7)

APG: Julius Randle (5.4)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.3)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)