Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/26/2025

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 26, 2025

Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -14, Grizzlies +14; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -14, Grizzlies +14; Over/Under:  223.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -14.5, Grizzlies +14.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Memphis Grizzlies:  48-34 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

Memphis Grizzlies:  4-6 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Phoenix Suns, the Utah Jazz, the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Memphis Grizzlies 3 times in a row. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 26 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 45.3% from the field, 34.2% from 3-point range, and 69.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 55-27-4 this season and their O/U record is 45-39-2.

The Grizzlies are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder 3 times in a row. Scotty Pippen Jr. led the team in points in that game with 28 while Jaren Jackson Jr. was next on the team with 22 points. Scotty Pippen Jr. and Ja Morant each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Desmond Bane led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.4% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 44-42-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-39.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 14 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 8th seeded Grizzlies from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder are leading this series 3-0 after winning game 3 on the road. The Thunder took a 3-0 series lead with a 114-108 win on the road over the Grizzlies and that game was a huge momentum swing in this series. The Grizzlies came out really strong in that game and even had a lead by over 20 points at halftime, but they let that lead go in the 2nd half and that killed any momentum they were building in this series. The Thunder completely took over the 2nd half when they were pretty much down and out, but this team has no quit and they fought all the way back to put the Grizzlies on the verge of elimination. That was a really tough loss for the Grizzlies to take on their home court when they had such a big lead and that was their best chance at taking a game in this series. They also lost Ja Morant in that game which is a huge blow if he can't go in this one. Game 3 was the chance for the Grizzlies to make this a series and show some fight, but the way they blew that lead and lost that game was pathetic. The Thunder showed why they are the best team in the NBA with their regular season record and this series will be over after this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, April 26, 2025 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 128 Grizzlies 110.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 44-26 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 107-72 ATS as a favorite. 50-25 ATS off a road win.  11-4 UNDER in all playoff games. 6-1 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.

Memphis Grizzlies: 17-38 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 7-19 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 108 points/game or less. 24-39 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 35-21 UNDER against Northwest division opponents. 7-2 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  O. Dieng (C) Day To Day - Calf. N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Memphis Grizzlies:  J. Morant (PG) Day To Day - Hip. J. Wells (SG) Out For Season - Wrist. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Knee.

“I just thought out of halftime, we kind of reconnected to who we are. We were very out of character in the first half.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in game 3 of this series on Thursday.

“I think it is very hard to describe to anyone who hasn't been in that situation.” - Tuomas Iisalo after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 3 of this series on Thursday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Ja Morant

SG Scotty Pippen Jr.

SF Desmond Bane

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Zach Edey 

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

PPG: J. Morant (23.2)

APG: J. Morant (7.3)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (8.3)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Memphis Grizzlies: Tuomas Iisalo (Interim)