Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/24/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, April 24, 2025

Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Where to Watch:  TNT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -8.5, Grizzlies +8.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -8.5, Grizzlies +8.5; Over/Under:  227 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -8.5, Grizzlies +8.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Memphis Grizzlies:  48-34 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Jim Feist is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 25-9 NBA RUN for +$15,070 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

Memphis Grizzlies:  5-5 last 10

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 32-8 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Phoenix Suns, the Utah Jazz, the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Memphis Grizzlies twice in a row. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 27 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 24 points. Jalen Williams and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 43.3% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 55-26-4 this season and their O/U record is 45-38-2.

The Grizzlies are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder twice in a row. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the team in points in that game with 26 while Ja Morant was next on the team with 23 points. Ja Morant led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Desmond Bane led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 42.9% from the field, 32.3% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 43-42-1 this season and their O/U record is 48-38.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 8th seeded Grizzlies from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder are leading this series 2-0 after winning game 2 at home. The Thunder took a 2-0 series lead with a 118-99 win over the Grizzlies in the 2nd game of this series and they are showing why they are the number 1 seed in the West and have the best record in the entire NBA. They were rolling into this playoff series and now have 6 wins in a row, and they haven't allowed the Grizzlies to score 100 points in either game yet. Now the Grizzlies are going to be at home for the next 2 games and they looked a lot better on their home court this year with their 26-15 home record, but the Thunder were also a great road team this year with their 32-8 road record. The Thunder rolled over the Grizzlies in the first 2 games of this series and that is something they have been doing all year as they won every game against the Grizzlies this season and none of those wins were by single digits. The Thunder also had a big advantage coming into this series since they had the week off while the Grizzlies had to play 2 games in the play-in tournament, and Morant got banged up in one of those games too. The Grizzlies have had no answer for the Thunder in the first 2 games and this game is going to be no different. The Thunder also have some experience to lean on from last season as they did sweep the Pelicans in the 1st round of the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, April 24, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 121 Grizzlies 108.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 44-25 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 107-71 ATS as a favorite. 34-18 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 10-4 UNDER in all playoff games. 5-1 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs.

Memphis Grizzlies: 16-38 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 19-26 ATS as a home underdog. 23-39 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 34-21 UNDER against Northwest division opponents. 12-3 UNDER as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  O. Dieng (C) Day To Day - Calf. N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

Memphis Grizzlies:  J. Wells (SG) Out For Season - Wrist. B. Clarke (PF) Out For Season - Knee.

“Everybody that touched the court played with confidence, played the right way, and we’re going to need that. You know, in all these games, it’s going to be different guys on different nights.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.

“The difference was that we started seriously competing in the third quarter and basically played them to a tie after that. But it’s against a team of this caliber, we need that for the whole 48 minutes right from the get go. And we’ve got to have an attack mindset right from the start and not take any steps back.” - Tuomas Iisalo after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Ja Morant

SG Scotty Pippen Jr.

SF Desmond Bane

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Zach Edey 

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

PPG: J. Morant (23.2)

APG: J. Morant (7.3)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (8.3)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)

Memphis Grizzlies: Tuomas Iisalo (Interim)