Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/09/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, January 9, 2026

Venue:  FedExForum, Memphis, TN

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -4.5, Grizzlies +4.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -4.5, Grizzlies +4.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -4.5, Grizzlies +4.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  31-7 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Memphis Grizzlies:  16-21 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10

Memphis Grizzlies:  3-7 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 31-7 record overall this season and they are 13-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Utah Jazz. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 46 while Chet Holmgren was next on the team with 23 points. Jalen Williams led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 43.6% from the field, 18.4% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.1 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 19-19 this season and their O/U record is 18-20.

The Grizzlies are entering this game with a 16-21 record overall this season and they are 8-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Phoenix Suns. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the team in points in that game with 19 while Cam Spencer, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and Javon Small each were next on the team with 14 points. Javon Small led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jock Landale led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 42.4% from the field, 32.4% from 3-point range, and 57.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Grizzlies have an ATS record of 16-21 this season and their O/U record is 14-23.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 31-7 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 13-4 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies haven't looked good in their games this season with their 16-21 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West. They haven't looked great on their home court either with their 8-10 home record this season. The Grizzlies are off a bad loss to the Suns in their last one and they haven't looked good lately, going 3-7 in their last 10 games. They have been playing in some competitive games against good opponents lately, but everything fell apart in that loss to the Suns and now they have to take on the best team in the NBA. The Thunder haven't looked great in their games lately by their standards, going 6-4 in their last 10 games after a really hot start to the year which had them on a historic pace. They have cooled off from that start with a majority of their losses this season coming over the last 2 weeks, but they bounced back with a win over the Jazz in their last one and they still have a lot more talent than the Grizzlies have. The Thunder will be looking to get themselves back on track and this is a great game for them to pick up a feel good win on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Grizzlies Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, January 9, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 131 Grizzlies 111.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 13-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 23-14 ATS off a win against a division rival. 21-14 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 35-27 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 18-11 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.

Memphis Grizzlies: 16-30 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 19-32 ATS as a home underdog. 8-17 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 20-10 UNDER after scoring 100 points or less. 21-13 UNDER versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Back. I. Hartenstein (C) Day To Day - Calf. O. Dieng (C) Day To Day - Calf. J. Williams (PF) Day To Day - Heel. N. Topic (PG) Out - Groin. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

Memphis Grizzlies:  V. Williams Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Knee. C. Coward (SG) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Morant (PG) Day To Day - Calf. B. Clarke (PF) Out - Calf. J. Konchar (SG) Out - Thumb. Z. Edey (C) Out - Ankle. T. Jerome (SG) Out - Calf. S. Pippen Jr. (PG) Out - Toe.

“The most impressive thing is how natural he looks regardless of the circumstance. He looks like the same player every minute of the game, and every second of the game, down to the last seconds. He doesn't waver. He looks the same in terms of his tempo. Everything’s consistent, even in the pressure moments.” Mark Daigneault on SGA after his team’s win against the Jazz in their game on Wednesday.

“I think it's good to get some kind of confirmation for the hard work that the guys are putting in. That's always great, especially to come in a game where we did a tremendous job executing the game plan. We were very disciplined, especially after the half. It was a great job defensively (against the Spurs).” - Tuomas Iisalo on his team this season. 

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Branden Carlson

PG Cam Spencer

SG Vince Williams Jr.

SF Jaylen Wells

PF Jaren Jackson Jr.

C Jock Landale

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.9)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (10.4)

PPG: Ja Morant (19)

APG: Ja Morant (7.6)

Reb/G: Zach Edey (11.1)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

Memphis Grizzlies: Tuomas Iisalo (2nd season)