Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/05/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Apr 04, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, April 5, 2024
Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN 
Where to Watch:  BSIN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Pacers -4.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Pacers -4.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +4.5, Pacers -4.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points

Season Record

Oklahoma City Thunder:  52-24 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Indiana Pacers:  43-34 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10
Indiana Pacers:  6-4 last 10


Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Preview and Analysis


The Thunder are entering this game with a 52-24 record overall and they are 23-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Philadelphia 76ers and the Boston Celtics in their last game. Josh Giddey led the team in points in that game with 17 while Luguentz Dort was next on the team with 15 points. Aaron Wiggins and Cason Wallace each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 43.2% from the field, 20.8% from 3-point range, and 89.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.3 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 42-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 41-32-3.



The Pacers are entering this game with a 43-34 record overall and they are 23-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Brooklyn Nets in their last game. Pascal Siakam led the team in points in that game with 26 while Tyrese Haliburton was next on the team with 24 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Pascal Siakam and Jalen Smith each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.7% from the field, 26.3% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 122.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 120.3 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 41-34-3 this season and their O/U record is 37-39-2.


Thunder vs Pacers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked really good in their games this season with their 52-24 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also been a really good road team this year with their 23-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Pacers have also looked good in their games this season with their 43-34 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the East right now. They are right on the cusp of a true playoff spot in the East and they have looked great on their home court this year with their 23-15 home record. The Pacers haven't looked as good in their games lately though, going 6-4 in their last 10 games and coming off a loss to the Nets in their last one. The Thunder haven't been any better since they are also 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have now lost 2 games in a row too, but their losses came against stronger teams, losing to the 76ers and the Celtics, and they will be looking to bounce back here. The Pacers are trying to climb up into a playoff spot in the East but the Thunder are still in the race for the number 1 seed in the West and they have been the more consistent team all season. The Thunder have also been missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in their last few games but could be getting him back here and they have still looked great in their games without him. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game.

Thunder Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 5, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 126 Pacers 118.
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NBA Betting Trends


Oklahoma City Thunder: 23-14 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 5-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 7-2 ATS after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more. 24-16 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 10-4 OVER off a road loss. 15-6 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses.

Indiana Pacers: 2-6 ATS after 2 straight games attempting 100 or more shots. 14-21 ATS after playing a road game. 10-4 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 20-12 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 22-13 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Key Injuries


Oklahoma City Thunder:  S. Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) Ques Fri - Quadricep. J. Williams (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle.

Indiana Pacers:  M. Turner (C) Ques Fri - Finger. B. Mathurin (SG) out for season - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“He changes them significantly. They play a lot different stylistically when he’s in to where they have been lately in the last 30 games he’s been out or so. When he plays, it certainly changes their approach.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the 76ers in their game on Tuesday.


“It was an uneven compete level for us tonight. You know, the second quarter was our undoing and the second half (we) just left too much to chance.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s loss against the Nets in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Josh Giddey
SF Luguentz Dort
PF Kenrich Williams
C Chet Holmgren

Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith 
PF Pascal Siakam 
C Jalen Smith

Statistical Leaders


Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (30.3)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.3)
Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.9)

Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (21.8)
APG: T. Haliburton (11)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (7.1)

Coaches:
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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