Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/15/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, January 15, 2026

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder -4.5, Rockets +4.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder -4.5, Rockets +4.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder -3.5, Rockets +3.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  34-7 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Houston Rockets:  23-14 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  8-2 last 10

Houston Rockets:  6-4 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 34-7 record overall this season and they are 14-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Utah Jazz, the Memphis Grizzlies, the Miami Heat, and the San Antonio Spurs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 34 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 20 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jaylin Williams each led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Chet Holmgren and Jaylin Williams each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 51.9% from the field, 36.7% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.1 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 20-21 this season and their O/U record is 20-21.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 23-14 record overall this season and they are 12-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Bulls. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 28 while Alperen Şengün and Amen Thompson each were next on the team with 23 points. Alperen Şengün led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Kevin Durant led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 51.1% from the field, 29.2% from 3-point range, and 75.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.8 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 18-19 this season and their O/U record is 19-17-1.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 23-14 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 12-2 home record. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 34-7 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 14-4 road record this season. The Thunder are the defending champions from last year and they had a historical start to the season as they looked like a team that was going to challenge the NBA record for most regular season wins. They have cooled off since that start as they have picked up a few more losses over the last few weeks. They have been starting to roll again lately, going 8-2 in their last 10 games, and they have won 4 games in a row now too. They have a ton of momentum on their side after a win over the Spurs in their last one, but they have struggled with the Spurs all season so they put a lot into winning that game. The Rockets haven't been rolling like the Thunder have been lately, but the Rockets are still 6-4 in their last 10 games and are coming off a win over the Bulls in their last one. They have the talent to be one of the best teams in the West this season too, and they have looked like a completely different team at home. The Rockets have the talent to keep this a tight game at home with the Thunder coming off that big win over the Spurs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 15, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 112 Thunder 109.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 3-7 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 6-13 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 1-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 10-3 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more.

Houston Rockets: 9-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 18-11 ATS as a home underdog. 39-28 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 9-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  L. Dort (SF) Day To Day - Foot. I. Hartenstein (C) Day To Day - Calf. N. Topic (PG) Out - Groin. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

Houston Rockets:  D. Finney-Smith (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. T. Eason (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. F. VanVleet (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“We had our moments where we weren’t as sharp, but we got it on track for the most part, executed really well.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Tuesday.

“It was big. Great to see him stay confident, stay aggressive and not pass those up. And he was rewarded for that.” - Ime Udoka on Jabari Smith Jr after his team’s win against the Bulls in their game on Tuesday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Jaylin Williams

PG Amen Thompson

SG Kevin Durant

SF Josh Okogie

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.9)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (10.4)

PPG: Kevin Durant (26.1)

APG: Alperen Sengun (6.6)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (8.9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (3rd season)