Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/04/2023

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 4, 2023

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-BA

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  241 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  241 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +7.5, Warriors -7.5; Over/Under:  240.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  38-41 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Golden State Warriors:  41-38 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  4-6 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10

The Thunder are coming into this game with a 38-41 record overall and they are 15-24 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Indiana Pacers and the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 39 while Josh Giddey was next on the team with 16 points. Josh Giddey led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Josh Giddey led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 40.9% from the field, 34.4% from 3-point range, and 85.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 43-33-3 this season and their O/U record is 45-34.

The Warriors are coming into this game with a 41-38 record overall and they are 32-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Klay Thompson led the team in points in that game with 25 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 21 points. Draymond Green led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Kevon Looney led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 40% from the field, 21.4% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.5 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 36-42-1 this season and their O/U record is 42-34-3.

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors are only 41-38 overall this season but they have been a different team in their home games with a 32-8 home record this year. They are also in the last playoff spot in the West before having to settle for a play-in spot so they will be really focused on keeping their playoff spot in these last few games. The Thunder haven't been that great either with their 38-41 record overall but they are much improved from last season and are still in the playoff race too. They have been terrible in their road games though with a 15-24 road record this season and they have lost 2 games in a row now as they have not been at their best. The Warriors have struggled a lot this season but not in their home games and these are still the defending NBA Champions so they are going to fight to keep their playoff spot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 4, 2023 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 124 Thunder 107.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 4-18 ATS in April games. 11-5 OVER against Pacific division opponents. 27-15 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.

Golden State Warriors: 27-13 ATS in home games. 23-15 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 15-9 OVER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  K. Williams (SG) out for season - Wrist. C. Holmgren (C) out for season - Foot.

Golden State Warriors:  A. Iguodala (SG) Late April - Wrist. R. Rollins (PG) Out indefinitely - Foot. A. Wiggins (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.

“We’ve got a week left in the regular season, and if (we) bring the same level of focus, competitiveness, physicality, execution (and) game plan … we’ll be able to lay our head on the pillow at night. I just thought we played at a really high level today and they were just a better team on this day.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Sunday.

“He’s entitled to those. He’s had such an incredible year and has played so well and has done so much for us. Just a tough night.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Nuggets in their game on Sunday.

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Josh Giddey

SF Luguentz Dort 

PF Jalen Williams

C Jaylin Williams

PG Stephen Curry

SG Klay Thompson

SF Donte DiVincenzo

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.5)

APG: J. Giddey (6.2)

Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.9)

PPG: S. Curry (29.5)

APG: D. Green (6.9)

Reb/G: K. Looney (9.2)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (9th season)