Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/10/2026

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, April 10, 2026

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  FDSOK, ALT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +11.5, Nuggets -11.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +11.5, Nuggets -11.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +11.5, Nuggets -11.5; Over/Under:  231.5 points

Oklahoma City Thunder:  64-16 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  52-28 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Oklahoma City Thunder:  9-1 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  10-0 last 10

The Thunder are entering this game with a 64-16 record overall this season and they are 30-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Chicago Bulls, the New York Knicks, the Detroit Pistons, the Los Angeles Lakers, the Utah Jazz, the LA Lakers again, and the Los Angeles Clippers. Chet Holmgren led the team in points in that game with 30 while Isaiah Joe was next on the team with 21 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 57.8% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 79.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.3 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 39-41 this season and their O/U record is 41-39.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 52-28 record overall this season and they are 27-13 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 10 game winning streak with wins coming against the Toronto Raptors, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Phoenix Suns, the Dallas Mavericks, the Utah Jazz, the Golden State Warriors, the Jazz again, the San Antonio Spurs, the Trail Blazers again, and the Memphis Grizzlies. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 26 while Cameron Johnson was next on the team with 18 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 58.9% from the field, 38.9% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 42-38 this season and their O/U record is 50-30.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 52-28 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 27-13 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 64-16 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have been a great road team too with their 30-9 road record this year. The Thunder are the defending champions of the NBA from last season and they are once again the best team in the regular season this year. They have been rolling in their games lately as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row now. They are off a huge win over the Clippers in their last one and that clinched the 1 seed in the West for them, but now they don't really have anything to play for in these last 2 games. They will likely use these last 2 games to rest some players and stay healthy for the playoffs since they have been dealing with injuries lately. The Nuggets have also been rolling in their games lately as they have won 10 games in a row now and are going into the playoffs with a ton of momentum on their side. They can't reall catch the Spurs, but they are still looking to lock up the 3 seed in the West in a tighter race. Look for the Thunder to start taking their foot off the gas in these last 2 games of the regular season and the Nuggets can take advantage of that at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Thunder Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 10, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 115 Thunder 102.

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Oklahoma City Thunder: 7-14 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 13-24 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 1-8 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 24-16 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 

Denver Nuggets: 12-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 8-2 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). 16-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 8-1 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%).

Oklahoma City Thunder:  T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

Denver Nuggets:  S. Jones (SF) Out - Hamstring. P. Watson (SF) Out - Hamstring.

"It feels better (this time), for sure. Not only because we had to weather a little bit more but just repeating something and doing it again is always a little bit harder. It's a little more challenging. The league gets better and players get better, so for us to still have the best overall record through that and the ups and downs speaks volumes to the team.” - Shai Gilgeous-Alexander after they clinched the 1 seed in their win against the LA Clippers on Wednesday.

"I had no idea that was the case. I guess I've been here for all those years. I don't know. I've been around aggressive losing streaks before, and they just last forever and ever. So, yeah, this has been unique. And so this whole season's been unique, man. I feel like we played really well to start. Then we survived for three months, and now we're playing really well again." - David Adelman after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Wednesday. 

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Cameron Johnson

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.4)

PPG: Nikola Jokic (27.8)

APG: Nikola Jokic (10.9)

Reb/G: Nikola Jokic (12.9)

Coaches:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)

Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (2nd season)