Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 26, 2022
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: ALT
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Thunder +13.5, Nuggets -13.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Thunder +13.5, Nuggets -13.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Thunder +13.5, Nuggets -13.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Season Record
Oklahoma City Thunder: 21-52 (5th place, Northwest Division)
Denver Nuggets: 43-31 (2nd place, Northwest Division)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Oklahoma City Thunder: 1-9 last 10
Denver Nuggets: 5-5 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder Analysis
The Thunder are coming into this game with a 21-52 record overall and they are 11-25 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 10 of their last 11 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 10 game losing streak that they were on. Their last 5 losses were against the Charlotte Hornets, the San Antonio Spurs, the Miami Heat, the Orlando Magic, and the Boston Celtics while their win came against the Magic in their last game. Théo Maledon off the bench led the team in points in that game with 25 while Isaiah Roby and Tre Mann were both next on the team with 21 points each. Maledon led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Vít Krejčí led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.1% from the field, 41.5% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 103.3 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 110.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 44-25-4 this season and their O/U record is 37-36.
Denver Nuggets Analysis
The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 43-31 record overall and they are 21-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Los Angeles Clippers while their 3 losses in that span came against the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Boston Celtics, and the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 28 while Nah'Shon Hyland off the bench was next on the team with 23 points. Aaron Gordon also scored 21 points in that one as well. Will Barton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Gordon, Jokić, JaMychal Green, and DeMarcus Cousins all led the team in rebounds with 6 each. They were 59.3% from the field, 46.9% from 3-point range, and 70.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.8 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 109.4 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 34-40 this season and their O/U record is 41-31-2.
Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction
The Thunder are coming into this game off of their first win in 10 straight games and they have not been playing well in those games at all. They have been missing a good portion of their starting lineup to injuries though and they are still missing most of their players here as well. The Thunder were able to snag a win against the Magic at home in their last game but now they are going on the road against the Nuggets and the Nuggets are a lot better than the Magic are. The Nuggets have had their own struggles recently with 3 losses in their last 4 games but they have been losing to some of the best teams in the NBA right now such as the Celtics and the Suns in their last game. The Nuggets have a favorable schedule over the next few games so they should be able to pick up some wins in their upcoming games. The Thunder are still missing a lot of their starters here and they will likely go back to struggling in their games against a much better team here. The Nuggets should win this game at home by double digits.
Thunder Nuggets Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 26, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 127 Thunder 104.
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NBA Betting Trends
Oklahoma City Thunder: 46-25 ATS in all games. 45-24 ATS as an underdog. 16-7 OVER in the second half of the season.
Denver Nuggets: 6-16 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 18-9 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 18-10 OVER as a home favorite.
Key Injuries
Oklahoma City Thunder: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. J. Robinson-Earl (SF) Early April - Foot injury. D. Favors (PF) Out indefinitely - Back injury. T. Jerome (SG) out for season - Hip injury. L. Dort (SG) out for season - Shoulder injury. M. Muscala (PF) out for season - Ankle injury. K. Williams (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. J. Giddey (SG) Out indefinitely - Hip injury.
Denver Nuggets: M. Porter Jr. (PF) Early April - Back injury. V. Cancar (SF) Early April - Foot injury. Z. Nnaji (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"I thought we were a little loose early. And then we really tightened it up with our help especially and did a nice job in the middle of the game. Help-oriented, played hard, competed, good communication. Good in man, good in the zone. I thought we played pretty well defensively for much of the game." - Mark Daigneault on his team’s win against the Magic on Wednesday night.
"To beat that team, you have to play almost perfect basketball. We did it for stretches tonight, but down the stretch they showed why they're the best team in the NBA." - Michael Malone on his team’s loss against the Suns on Thursday night.
Starting Lineups
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Tre Mann
SF Aaron Wiggins
PF Darius Bazley
C Isaiah Roby
Denver Nuggets
PG Monte Morris
SG Will Barton
SF Aaron Gordon
PF Jeff Green
C Nikola Jokic
Statistical Leaders
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (24.5)
APG: J. Giddey (6.4)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.8)
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (26.2)
APG: N. Jokic (7.9)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (13.5)
Coaches:
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)