Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Monday, January 17, 2022
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  BSOK

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Thunder +10, Mavericks -10; Over/Under:  207.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Thunder +10, Mavericks -10; Over/Under:  207.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Thunder +10.5, Mavericks -10.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points
 

Season Record

Oklahoma City Thunder:  14-28 (5th place, Northwest Division)
Dallas Mavericks:  24-19 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
 
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Oklahoma City Thunder:  2-8 last 10
Dallas Mavericks:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Oklahoma City Thunder Analysis

The Thunder are coming into this game with a 14-28 record overall and they are 6-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Brooklyn Nets while their 6 losses in that span came against the Dallas Mavericks, the Minnesota Timberwolves twice, the Denver Nuggets, the Washington Wizards, and the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 21 while Luguentz Dort and Darius Bazley off the bench were both next on the team with 17 points each. Gilgeous-Alexander also led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jeremiah Robinson-Earl led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 43.4% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 100.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.7 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 27-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-24.
 
 

Dallas Mavericks Analysis

The Mavericks are coming into this game with a 24-19 record overall and they are 12-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. Their last loss was against the Ney York Knicks but they have gone on a 2 game winning streak since then with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies and the Orlando Magic in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 23 while Kristaps Porziņģis and Jalen Brunson were both next on the team with 19 points each. Dončić, Brunson, and Reggie Bullock off the bench all led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Dončić led the team in rebounds himself with 9. They were 41% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 105.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 102.87 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 23-20 this season and their O/U record is 13-28-2.
 
 

 

Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction

The Thunder are coming into this game as a 10 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have not been winning a lot of games this season but they have been playing well in their last 4 games. They have lost 3 of those 4 games but all of their losses were within 5 points and the other game in that span was a road win against the Nets by 21 points. The Mavericks have been playing well recently but they have been inconsistent all season and the Thunder have started to step up their play as well. The best bet to place in this game is on the Thunder to cover the spread here.
 
Thunder Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, January 17, 2022 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 110 Thunder 104.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Oklahoma City Thunder: 27-14 ATS in all games. 15-7 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5. 26-13 ATS as an underdog. 13-7 ATS as a road underdog. 54-31 ATS in road games. 26-10 ATS in January games. 19-9 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games. 189-136 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games.
Dallas Mavericks: 14-27 O/U in all games. 6-14 O/U as a favorite. 4-9 O/U as a home favorite. 5-14 O/U in home games. 1-7 O/U in January games. 0-9 O/U when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 8-18 O/U after 1 or more consecutive unders. 12-28 O/U after a combined score of 205 points or less.
 

Key Injuries

 
Oklahoma City Thunder:  K. Williams (SG) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Dallas Mavericks:  W. Cauley-Stein (C) Out indefinitely - Illness.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I didn't think we offensively had the sense of purpose that we had in the first half or the sense of purpose that we've had the last few games. I thought we really drifted from that in the second half and it caught us. But credit to them. They were poised on the road. They hung in there. They were down significantly in the game and came back and won. They deserved to win." - Mark Daigneault on his team’s loss against the Cavaliers on Saturday night.
 
 
"Kind of makes me comfortable right off the bat. And then just finding opportunities within the offense. That's what I wanted to do. I didn't want to force anything too much first game back." - Kristaps Porzingis on his return from covid-19 in their win against the Magic on Saturday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG     Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG     Luguentz Dort
SF     Josh Giddey
PF     Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
C     Derrick Favors
 
Dallas Mavericks
PG     Luka Doncic
SG     Jalen Brunson
SF     Dorian Finney-Smith
PF     Kristaps Porzingis
C     Dwight Powell
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (22.4)
APG: J. Giddey (6.3)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.4)
 
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (24.7)
APG: L. Doncic (8.7)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.5)
 
Coaches:
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (1st season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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