by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 11, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 14, 2023
Venue: Ross–Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch: Peacock
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: OSU -19.5, Purdue +19.5; Over/Under: 49 points
Bet365: Point Spread: OSU -19.5, Purdue +19.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: OSU -19.5, Purdue +19.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Season Record
Ohio State Buckeyes: 5-0 (2-0) (3rd place, Big Ten East)
Purdue Boilermakers: 2-4 (1-2) (6th place, Big Ten West)
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Recent Form
Ohio State Buckeyes: won their last game at home against the Maryland Terrapins 37-17.
Purdue Boilermakers: lost their last game on the road against the Iowa Hawkeyes 20-14.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Ohio State is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Maryland 37-17. Kyle McCord was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 320 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. DeaMonte Trayanum led the team in rushing yards with 61 and 1 TD. Marvin Harrison Jr. led the receivers with 163 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Tommy Eichenberg led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while J.T. Tuimoloau led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Josh Proctor and Lathan Ransom each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Purdue is entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their conference games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Iowa 20-14. Hudson Card was the starting QB and he completed 25/40 passes for 247 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing yards with 89 and 1 TD. TJ Sheffield led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Sanoussi Kane led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Mo Omonode led the defense in sacks with 1. Dillon Thieneman came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Ohio State vs Purdue Prediction
The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 19.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ohio State got off to a slow start this season but they have looked a lot better in their games lately as they are 5-0 overall and 2-0 in their conference games. They already have 2 road wins under their belt, 1 conference win against Indiana and 1 non-conference win against a tough Notre Dame. Now they are on the road against Purdue and Purdue has been terrible in their games this season. Purdue is only 2-4 overall with a 1-2 conference record and they have even been terrible in their home games with a 1-3 record there. Ohio State has a lot more talent on both sides of the ball with a defense that will cause big problems for this Purdue offense. Purdue has also had a terrible defense in their games as they have given up a ton of points this season and Ohio State's offense is finally starting to roll now as they figure things out with their new QB. Ohio State is going to keep rolling in this game and cover this number. The best way to place a bet here is on Ohio State to cover the spread in this game.
Ohio State Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 14, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 52 Purdue 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Ohio State Buckeyes: 12-6 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52. 8-3 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more. 14-6 OVER against conference opponents. 10-3 OVER off a home win by 17 points or more.
Purdue Boilermakers: 5-11 ATS in home games. 3-9 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 12-6 OVER as an underdog. 10-4 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 9-5 OVER after playing 3 straight conference games.
Key Injuries
Ohio State Buckeyes: T. Henderson (RB) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. A. Reese (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Martinez (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. E. Egbuka (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Caffey (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Mitchell (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. K. Grayes (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Bonsu (S) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. N. Baudo (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. R. Stocksdale (WR) out for season - Knee. Z. Herbstreit (TE) out for season - Undisclosed. B. Christian (TE) out for season - Suspension.
Purdue Boilermakers: M. Wilson (DB) out for season - Undisclosed. T. Tracy Jr. (RB) Doub Sat - Undisclosed. M. Klare (TE) out for season - Undisclosed. B. Freehill (K) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Johnson (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Lewis (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Sowinski (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. O. Brothers (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Mbow (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Turner-Muhammad (DB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. P. Piferi (TE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Edrine (WR) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It was like one of those things — OK, what’s going on here? But that’s the game, and you got to respond. So I thought we did respond well in the second half. Good rhythm.” - Ryan Day after his team’s win against Maryland in their last game.
“Against a good team like Iowa, you can't have those mistakes, especially where we're at as a team. I thought defensively, we gave ourselves a chance. But we had to play perfectly, and we didn't.” - Ryan Walters after his team’s loss against Iowa in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Ohio State Buckeyes
WR Harrison Jr., Marvin
WR Fleming, Julian
WR Egbuka, Emeka
TE Stover, Cade
QB McCord, Kyle
RB Trayanum, Chip
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Burks, Deion
WR Yaseen, Abdur-Rahmaan
WR Sheffield, TJ
TE Miller, Garrett
QB Card, Hudson
RB Tracy Jr., Tyrone
Statistical Leaders
Ohio State Buckeyes
Passing: K. McCord (1375)
Rushing: T. Henderson (295)
Receiving: M. Harrison Jr. (499)
Touchdowns: T. Henderson (5)
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: H. Card (1491)
Rushing: D. Mockobee (368)
Receiving: D. Burks (396)
Touchdowns: T. Tracy Jr. (5)
Coaches:
Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (6th season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Ryan Walters (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
