by Rod Pearson
Friday, Sep 22, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 23, 2023
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: OSU -3, ND +3; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: OSU -3, ND +3; Over/Under: 55.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: OSU -3, ND +3; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Ohio State Buckeyes: 3-0 (1-0) (2nd place, Big Ten East)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 4-0 (0-0) (FBS Independents)
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Recent Form
Ohio State Buckeyes: won their last game at home against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 63-10.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: won their last game at home against the Central Michigan Chippewas 41-17.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview and Analysis
Ohio State is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Western Kentucky 63-10. Kyle McCord was the starting QB and he completed 19/23 passes for 318 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. TreVeyon Henderson led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 2 TDs. Marvin Harrison Jr. led the receivers with 126 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Tommy Eichenberg led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Mitchell Melton and Tyleik Williams each led the defense in sacks with 1. Steele Chambers and Jermaine Mathews Jr. each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Notre Dame is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against CMU 41-17. Sam Hartman was the starting QB and he completed 16/26 passes for 330 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Audric Estime led the team in rushing yards with 176 and 1 TD. Tobias Merriweather led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jack Kiser led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jack Kiser and Thomas Harper each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Ohio State vs Notre Dame Prediction
The current betting odds have Ohio State listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ohio State is 3-0 this season and have looked shaky in their first few games but they are usually a team that starts off slower and needs a few weeks to get things together. They pulled off a tough road win against Indiana in a lower scoring game to open up the season but they finally looked like their old selves last week as they blew out WKU at home 63-10. Their offense is starting to roll now with their new starting QB and they are going to put up a ton of points in this game now that they have found something on offense. They also have a defense that is a lot better than it was last year and they are going to give Notre Dame fits in this game. Notre Dame has also looked really good in their games with a 4-0 start to the season but the toughest game they had was a road game against NC State. They haven't really played any strong teams yet and this is going to be their first big test against one of the best teams in the country. Ohio State will be ready to make a statement in this game since there hasn't been much talk around them in these first few weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on Ohio State to cover the spread in this game.
Ohio State Notre Dame Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 23, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 38 Notre Dame 31.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Ohio State Buckeyes: 13-1 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less. 10-5 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 19-10 OVER in all games. 18-10 OVER as a favorite. 10-1 OVER off a home blowout win by 28 points or more.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 16-23 ATS in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 9-15 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games. 8-2 OVER off a home win. 9-3 OVER after scoring 37 points or more last game. 7-2 OVER as an underdog.
Key Injuries
Ohio State Buckeyes: Z. Herbstreit (TE) out for season - Undisclosed. T. Caffey (RB) Ques Sat - Knee. J. Mitchell (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. K. Grayes (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Bonsu (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Royer (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Reese (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Stocksdale (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. B. Christian (TE) out for season - Suspension.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: E. Raridon (TE) Out Sat - Knee. M. Evans (TE) Prob Sat - Concussion. J. Bertrand (LB) Ques Sat - Concussion. G. Rubio (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Salerno (K) Out indefinitely - Leg. K. Bauman (TE) out for season - Knee. K. Smith (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“We wanted to build momentum into next week and everything was turned up in a big way so we need to get back to work. Notre Dame starts now. Usually, we start on Sunday. We’re starting to prepare tonight.” - Ryan Day after his team’s win against WKU in their last game.
“I’ve been extremely pleased with the play of our offensive line. I know we had high expectations coming into the season, but I think they’ve done a good job of gelling as a unit. You have two guys on the inside between Pat and Rocco that were first time starters four games ago who continuously grow.” - Marcus Freeman on his team’s offensive line coming into this game against OSU.
Starting Lineups
Ohio State Buckeyes
WR Harrison Jr., Marvin
WR Fleming, Julian
WR Egbuka, Emeka
TE Stover, Cade
QB McCord, Kyle
RB Henderson, TreVeyon
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
WR Merriweather, Tobias
WR Thomas, Jayden
WR Tyree, Chris
TE Evans, Mitchell
QB Hartman, Sam
RB Estimé, Audric
Statistical Leaders
Ohio State Buckeyes
Passing: K. McCord (815)
Rushing: T. Henderson (191)
Receiving: M. Harrison Jr. (304)
Touchdowns: T. Henderson (4)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Passing: S. Hartman (1061)
Rushing: A. Estime (521)
Receiving: C. Tyree (216)
Touchdowns: A. Estime (5)
Coaches:
Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (6th season)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
