by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 20, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 25, 2023
Venue: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: OSU +3.5, Michigan -3.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: OSU +3.5, Michigan -3.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: OSU +3.5, Michigan -3.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Ohio State Buckeyes: 11-0 (8-0) (2nd place, Big Ten East)
Michigan Wolverines: 11-0 (8-0) (1st place, Big Ten East)
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Recent Form
Ohio State Buckeyes: won their last game at home against the Minnesota Golden Gophers 37-3.
Michigan Wolverines: won their last game on the road against the Maryland Terrapins 31-24.
Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan Wolverines Preview and Analysis
Ohio State is entering this game with an 11-0 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Minnesota 37-3. Kyle McCord was the starting QB and he completed 20/30 passes for 212 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. TreVeyon Henderson led the team in rushing yards with 146 and 2 TDs. Emeka Egbuka led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Steele Chambers led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jack Sawyer led the defense in sacks with 1. Jordan Hancock came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Michigan is entering this game with an 11-0 record overall and they have an 8-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Maryland 31-24. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 12/23 passes for 141 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Blake Corum led the team in rushing yards with 94 and 2 TDs. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 36 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Junior Colson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Michael Barrett, Kenneth Grant, and Jaylen Harrell each led the defense in sacks with 1. Mike Sainristil came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Ohio State vs Michigan Prediction
The current betting odds have Ohio State listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ohio State has looked really good this season with their 11-0 record overall and their 8-0 conference record. Michigan has also looked really good as they have the same overall record and record in the Big Ten. Both of these teams have been the 2 best teams in the Big Ten all season but Ohio State has been looking a lot better in their games lately while Michigan hasn't looked as good as their opponents have gotten tougher. Michigan really struggled a lot in their last game against Maryland and even though they have the home advantage in this game, they are still at a disadvantage here with the 3 game suspension to Harbaugh since he won't be allowed on the sidelines in this game. Ohio State started the season a bit rocky as they didn't look great in their games, but lately they have been blowing out the weaker teams in the conference and they are going to be focused on pulling off the upset here with everything going on surrounding Michigan. Ohio State has the talent to win this game outright but even if they don't, they can keep this game close within a field goal. The best way to place a bet here is on Ohio State to cover the spread in this game.
Ohio State Michigan Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 25, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 24 Michigan 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Ohio State Buckeyes: 3-8 ATS after allowing 6 points or less in 2 straight games. 14-21 ATS after allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in 2 consecutive games. 9-2 UNDER in all games. 14-4 UNDER as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 7-1 UNDER against conference opponents.
Michigan Wolverines: 24-14 ATS in all games. 10-1 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 19-8 ATS against conference opponents. 10-5 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 16-3 UNDER as a home favorite. 5-1 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
Ohio State Buckeyes: M. Hall Jr. (DT) day-to-day - Undisclosed. T. Eichenberg (LB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. L. Ransom (S) day-to-day - Leg. D. Brown (QB) Late Nov - Ankle. N. Baudo (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Williams (RB) out for season - Undisclosed. T. Caffey (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Mitchell (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. K. Grayes (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Bonsu (S) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. R. Stocksdale (WR) out for season - Knee. Z. Herbstreit (TE) out for season - Undisclosed. B. Christian (TE) out for season - Suspension.
Michigan Wolverines: L. Henderson (OL) day-to-day - Undisclosed. R. Wilson (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. D. Hughes (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. D. Warren (QB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. K. English (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. C. Stokes (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. L. Forbes (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“Our team did a great job of staying focused this week. Not easy to do for anybody, but we did stay in the moment and played well. But the moment we got in that locker room, it’s on to next week.” - Ryan Day after his team’s win against Minnesota in their last game.
“We need to edit coach in there. There's enough technology in the world today that we can get that done.” - Sherrone Moore after his team’s win against Maryland in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Ohio State Buckeyes
WR Harrison Jr., Marvin
WR Fleming, Julian
WR Egbuka, Emeka
TE Stover, Cade
QB McCord, Kyle
RB Henderson, TreVeyon
Michigan Wolverines
WR Johnson, Cornelius
WR Wilson, Roman
TE Barner, A.J.
TE Loveland, Colston
QB McCarthy, J.J.
RB Corum, Blake
FB Bredeson, Max
Statistical Leaders
Ohio State Buckeyes
Passing: K. McCord (2899)
Rushing: T. Henderson (794)
Receiving: M. Harrison Jr. (1093)
Touchdowns: M. Harrison Jr. (14)
Michigan Wolverines
Passing: J. McCarthy (2335)
Rushing: B. Corum (888)
Receiving: R. Wilson (612)
Touchdowns: B. Corum (20)
Coaches:
Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (6th season)
Michigan Wolverines: Jim Harbaugh (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
