Ohio State Buckeyes vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/28/2024

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 28, 2024

Venue:  Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI 

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  OSU -23.5, MSU +23.5; Over/Under:  48 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  OSU -23.5, MSU +23.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  OSU -23.5, MSU +23.5; Over/Under:  48.5 points

Ohio State Buckeyes:  3-0 (0-0) (7th place, Big Ten)

Michigan State Spartans:  3-1 (1-0) (5th place, Big Ten)

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Ohio State Buckeyes:  won their last game at home against the Marshall Thundering Herd 49-14.

Michigan State Spartans:  lost their last game on the road against the Boston College Eagles 23-19.

Ohio State is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Marshall 49-14. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 16/20 passes for 275 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Quinshon Judkins led the team in rushing yards with 173 and 2 TDs. Emeka Egbuka led the receivers with 117 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Lathan Ransom led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Caden Curry led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Michigan State is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Boston College 23-19. Aidan Chiles was the starting QB and he completed 17/35 passes for 241 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Kay'ron Lynch-Adams led the team in rushing yards with 61. Montorie Foster Jr. led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Khris Bogle and Malik Spencer each led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jordan Turner, Quindarius Dunnigan, and Anthony Jones each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Ohio State listed as a 23.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Ohio State has looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. They haven't really been tested in any of their games yet, but they have been blowing out their opponents in all 3. This is their first road game of the season and their first conference game of the season too, but they have one of the most talented teams in the entire country this year. Meanwhile, Michigan State has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall, but they haven't really been tested in their games either. They have 1 solid win in the Big Ten this season, beating Maryland on the road, but Maryland is only a mediocre team and now Michigan State is coming off a loss to Boston College in their last one. Michigan State has improved a lot from last season with their new head coach Jonathan Smith, but they are still figuring things out in his 1st year and they don't have nearly as much talent as Ohio State has. Ohio State is still trying to prove why they should be ranked number 1 in the country so they aren't going to take their foot off the gas here in their first conference game as they look to make a statement against this hot Michigan State team. The best way to place a bet here is on Ohio State to cover the spread in this game. 

Ohio State Michigan State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 28, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 45 Michigan State 13.

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Ohio State Buckeyes: 5-2 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 10-5 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 6-2 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 8-1 1H UNDER as a road favorite. 8-5 1H UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%).

Michigan State Spartans: 4-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 2-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 2-7 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 8-3 UNDER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 9-4 UNDER vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 10-5 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Ohio State Buckeyes:  R. Stocksdale (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Armstrong (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Bonsu (SAF) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Caffey (RB) Out - Knee.

Michigan State Spartans:  C. Rucker (DB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Dunn (DL) Out - Undisclosed. K. Phillips (OL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Glover (WR) Out - Undisclosed. K. Majeed (DB) Out - Lower Body. D. Tatum (DB) Out - Lower Body. A. Brown (WR) Out - Upper Body.

“I don’t feel good about anything. That’s just my mindset ... That has to be everybody’s mindset. You start to feel good about something and complacency can sneak up on you fast. So, no, nobody feels good about anything.” - Ryan Day on his mindset for this college football season.

“Good opponent coming in, looking forward to a Saturday night against Ohio State in our place. I’ve got a bunch of respect for that program, those coaches, those players. It will be a real, real challenge that we are gonna put a lot of work in to take on.” - Jonathan Smith on his team’s upcoming game against Ohio State this week.

WR Smith, Jeremiah

WR Tate, Carnell 

WR Egbuka, Emeka 

TE Scott Jr., Gee 

QB Howard, Will 

RB Henderson, TreVeyon

WR Glover, Jaron 

WR Foster Jr., Montorie 

WR Johnson, Aziah

TE Velling, Jack

QB Chiles, Aidan 

RB Carter, Nate 

FB Coyne, Jay 

Passing: W. Howard (795)

Rushing: Q. Judkins (336)

Receiving: J. Smith (281)

Touchdowns: Q. Judkins (5)

Passing: A. Chiles (891)

Rushing: K. Lynch-Adams (271)

Receiving: N. Marsh (232)

Touchdowns: A. Chiles (3)

Coaches:

Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (7th season)

Michigan State Spartans: Jonathan Smith (1st season)