Ohio Bobcats vs Buffalo Bulls Game Preview and Prediction - 10/16/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 16, 2021
Venue:  UB Stadium, Getzville, NY
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ohio +10, Buffalo -10; Over/Under:  55.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ohio +10, Buffalo -10; Over/Under:  55.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ohio +10.5, Buffalo -10.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Season Record

Ohio Bobcats:  1-5 (4th place, MAC East)
Buffalo Bulls:  2-4 (5th place, MAC East)
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Ohio Bobcats vs Buffalo Bulls Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Ohio Bobcats:  lost at home on Oct 9 to the Central Michigan Chippewas 30-27.
Buffalo Bulls:  lost on the road on Oct. 9 to the Kent State Golden Flashes 48-38.

Ohio Bobcats Analysis

Ohio is coming into this game with a 1-5 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-1 in their conference games this season. They have played 2 straight conference games winning the first one against the Akron Zips but losing to CMU in their last game. They lost that game 30-27 in what was a pretty close game for the entire length of it. Armani Rogers played alright in that game as he completed 13/18 passes for 190 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. De’Montre Tuggle led the team in rushing with 83 yards and 1 touchdown. Sieh Bangura was right behind him with 1 TD and 40 rushing yards on 1 carry and Rogers also ran 1 TD in himself with 37 yards rushing on 15 carries but overall, their running game was not the greatest in that one. Cameron Odom led the receivers with 88 yards on 4 receptions in what was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps. Jamison Collier had a great day on defense leading them with 8 solo tackles. Will Evans and Bryce Houston also had a good day as they both had 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one each. Rodney Matthews recorded the only sack while Tariq Drake came up big with 2 interceptions in that game. They have scored 116 points in their first 6 games averaging 19.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 188 points against them allowing 31.3 PPG. The Ohio offense is averaging 346.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 426.3 YPG.

Buffalo Bulls Analysis

Buffalo is coming into this college football game with a 2-4 record overall and they are 1-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup on their schedule and they have already fallen behind with a 0-2 record in their conference games this season. They lost those 2 games against the Western Michigan Broncos and against Kent State as they came into this one riding that 2 game losing streak. They lost their last game to Kent State 48-38 in a high scoring game that they were playing catch-up the whole time. Kyle Vantrease struggled in that game as he completed 23/44 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Dylan McDuffie led the team in rushing with 87 yards and 1 touchdown on 10 carries while Kevin Marks was right behind him with 80 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 16 carries. Ron Cook Jr. also had a nice day with 72 rushing yards on 14 carries in what was a pretty good evenly spread out day for the running game. Quian Williams led the receivers with 86 yards on 8 receptions but other than him it was a quiet day for the receiving corps. Ja'Marcus Ingram led the defense with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Kadofi Wright was right behind him with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Eric Black and George Wolo both combined for 1 sack in that game while no one on the defense came away with an interception. They have scored 187 points in their first 6 games averaging 31.2 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 169 points against them allowing 28.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 410.7 YPG while Buffalo’s defense is allowing 430 YPG.


Ohio vs Buffalo Prediction

Buffalo has not been playing well this year and although they are scoring a lot in some of their games, they are also allowing a lot of points in them as well. They are coming into this game at a 10.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings sportsbook and they have only won 1 game by that margin this year, and it was in their season opener against a team from the FCS. Ohio may be a bad team but they are holding their own against teams from their conference. They have a double digits win over Akron and a 3 point loss to CMU in a game they stayed competitive in the entire time. The best bet to make in this game is on Ohio to cover the spread as Buffalo has been bad this year and Ohio will keep fighting if they fall behind by too much opening the door to a backdoor cover if they do not keep the game closer which they should.
Ohio Buffalo Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 16, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Buffalo 31 Ohio 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

Ohio Bobcats: 22-17 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 135-132 ATS in all games. 66-59 ATS as an underdog.
Buffalo Bulls: 55-68 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games. 47-54 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 45-26 O/U as a favorite.

Key Injuries

Ohio Bobcats:  J. Elad (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. N. Sink (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. K. Thompson (LB) Out Indefinitely - Knee injury.
Buffalo Bulls:  J. Ruiz (WR) Ques Sat - Knee injury.

Players to Watch

Ohio Bobcats: Cameron Odom is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in receiving yards this season. He is coming off of a game where he had over 80 yards and he will need to make a big impact if his team is going to pull off an upset here. Look for him to build on his good season and make some big catches in this important conference game.
Buffalo Bulls: Kevin Marks Jr. is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a game where he had 80 rushing yards and he has been a big part of this offense all year. Look for him to make some big runs and find the end zone here.

Notable Quotes

"I will challenge them this week. You learn stuff more every game. With every loss, you learn the different struggles that you have and correct them. I told them since we started practice on August 6, once we start league play, it is going to come down to a situation. Our league top to bottom is the most competitive it has been since my time here. Every game is going to come down to what you saw today. Next week is going to be like today and we must find a way to get it done." - Tim Albin on their game preparation after their close loss to CMU.
“I think the word for us right now, is to finish. I think it’s to make the plays that need to be made when the game is on the line. We have to call the right plays. We have to put the right people in the right situations. And then we need our best players to play their best. I think we had a lot of guys step up in the second half to put us back in that position, but it’s hard when you deal with the result of not getting what you want after you battled the way you battle.” - Maurice Linguist after their loss to Kent State in their last game.

Starting Lineups

Ohio Bobcats
WR Odom, Cameron 
WR Buckner, Jerome 
WR Cox, Isiah 
TE Luehrman, Ryan 
QB Rourke, Kurtis 
RB Allison, O'Shaan 
Buffalo Bulls
WR Williams, Quian 
WR Laborn, Khamran 
WR Johnson, Dominic 
TE Molinich, Jake 
QB Vantrease, Kyle 
RB Marks Jr., Kevin 

Statistical Leaders

Ohio Bobcats
Passing: K. Rourke (654)
Rushing: D. Tuggle (443)
Receiving: C. Odom (228)
Touchdowns: A. Rogers (4)
Sacks: W. Evans (3.5)
Tackles: B. Houston (26)
Buffalo Bulls
Passing: K. Vantrease (1172)
Rushing: K. Marks Jr. (368)
Receiving: Q. Williams (551)
Touchdowns: K. Marks Jr. (5)
Sacks: M. Michel (2.5)
Tackles: J. Patterson (22)
Ohio Bobcats: Tim Albin (1st season)
Buffalo Bulls: Maurice Linguist (1st season)

Weather Forecast

65 degrees F showers, 76% humidity, 60% chance of rain, up to 12 mph wind speeds W.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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