by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 22, 2021
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Friday, November 26, 2021
Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Ohio -5, BGSU +5; Over/Under: 49 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Ohio -5.5, BGSU +5.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Ohio -5.5, BGSU +5.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Ohio Bobcats: 3-8 (3rd place, MAC East)
Bowling Green Falcons: 3-8 (6th place, MAC East)
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Ohio Bobcats vs Bowling Green Falcons Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Ohio Bobcats: lost at home on Nov. 16 against the Toledo Rockets 35-23.
Bowling Green Falcons: lost on the road on Nov. 16 against the Miami-OH RedHawks 34-7.
Ohio Bobcats Analysis
Ohio is coming into this game with a 3-8 record overall and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 3-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but they are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Kurtis Rourke played alright in that game as he completed 22/36 passes for 233 yards and 1 touchdown. De'Montre Tuggle led the team in rushing with 64 yards on 13 carries while Sieh Bangura ran in 1 TD in that one. Isiah Cox led the receivers with 65 yards on 4 receptions while Chase Cokley caught the only touchdown pass for them in that one. Alex Wolff led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack or an interception for them in that one. They have scored 261 points in their 11 games this season averaging 23.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 343 points against them allowing 31.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 384.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 439.6 YPG.
Bowling Green Falcons Analysis
BGSU is coming into this game with a 3-8 record overall and they are 1-4 in their home games this season. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 1-6 in their conference games this season. They have lost 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Matt McDonald did not play his best as he completed 13/28 passes for 108 yards. Nick Mosley led the team in rushing with 90 yards on 14 carries while Terion Stewart had 71 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 carries. Tyrone Broden led the receivers with 53 yards on 5 receptions. Sy Dabney led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Dabney along with Walter Haire both led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while Deshawn Jones Jr. came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 236 points in their 11 games this season averaging 21.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 358 points against them allowing 32.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 315.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 387.5 YPG.
Ohio vs Bowling Green Prediction
BGSU is coming into this game as a 5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Neither of these teams have anything left to play for with just 3 wins on the season each. BGSU has been playing a lot better in this final stretch and their players want to turn the tide on the program as they have shown flashes of what they can do in some of their games already. The BGSU will want to finish their season off at home on a good note with a win here. The best bet to place in this game is on BGSU to cover the spread here as they will be motivated to play hard for a win here.
Ohio Bowling Green Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 26, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is BGSU 27 Ohio 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Ohio Bobcats: 21-26 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 90-106 O/U in all games. 27-30 O/U when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 42-52 O/U in road games. 61-72 O/U against conference opponents.
Bowling Green Falcons: 18-21 O/U as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 92-114 O/U in all games. 57-63 O/U as an underdog. 38-50 O/U in home games. 59-72 O/U after playing a conference game. 63-78 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Ohio Bobcats: K. Danneker (OL) Ques Nov 27 - Undisclosed injury. J. Holloway (LS) Ques Nov 27 - Undisclosed injury. O. Allison (RB) Ques Nov 27 - Hand injury. K. Thompson (LB) Out Indefinitely - Knee injury.
Bowling Green Falcons: J. Patterson (RB) Ques Nov 26 - Undisclosed injury. T. Stewart (RB) Ques Nov 26 - Ankle injury. T. Raymore (RB) out for season - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
"Today, I shared with our team the news that long-time Ohio coaches Ron Collins and Pete Germano will be retiring after our season concludes next Friday. Ron and Pete have coached at Ohio University for a combined 27 years, and have been instrumental in establishing our team culture, building young men of character, helping student-athletes graduate, and building one of the best and most-respected defenses in the league over the past decade, mostly under the direction of Coach Frank Solich. I know our staff, student-athletes and fans are forever indebted to them for their relentless work in laying the foundation of our program's success. We look forward to honoring their legacy as Bobcats one final time next Friday against Bowling Green." - Tim Albin on their defensive coordinator and safeties coach retiring.
“He’s growing. He’s maturing. I love Terion. I have choice words with him at times to keep him in line, but I love him. I want to see him mature even more. I want to see him continue to do great in school. And, obviously, watch him play good football, and he will play good football. I’m never worried about Terion with good football.” - Scot Loeffler on Terion Stewart.
Starting Lineups
Ohio Bobcats
WR Odom, Cameron
WR Walton, Tyler
WR Cox, Isiah
TE Luehrman, Ryan
QB Rogers, Armani
RB Tuggle, De'Montre
Bowling Green Falcons
WR Tyrone Broden
WR Osborne, Austin
TE Christian Sims
TE Bench, Andrew
QB McDonald, Matt
RB Stewart, Terion
Statistical Leaders
Ohio Bobcats
Passing: K. Rourke (1713)
Rushing: D. Tuggle (759)
Receiving: C. Odom (399)
Touchdowns: D. Tuggle (7)
Bowling Green Falcons
Passing: M. McDonald (2300)
Rushing: T. Stewart (395)
Receiving: T. Broden (596)
Touchdowns: T. Broden (5)
Coaches:
Ohio Bobcats: Tim Albin (1st season)
Bowling Green Falcons: Scot Loeffler (3rd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
