Oakland Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/22/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jun 21, 2023
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Thursday, June 22, 2023
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSGL


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Athletics +145, Guardians -170; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Athletics +145, Guardians -170; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Athletics +145, Guardians -170; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Oakland Athletics:  19-56 (5th place, AL West)
Cleveland Guardians:  34-38 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Oakland Athletics:  4-6 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10



Oakland Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis


The Athletics are entering this game on a 6 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. They enter this game with a 19-56 record overall and have a road record of 10-27. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 30th in the MLB with a .655 OPS. Paul Blackburn is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while JP Sears is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-4 with a 4.24 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 3 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Guardians are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak but lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-38 record overall and have a home record of 17-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the A’s on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .679 OPS. Rookie pitcher Gavin Williams is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while rookie pitcher Logan Allen is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-2 with a 3.95 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits through 3 innings played against the San Diego Padres.


Athletics vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians haven't been great this season as they do have a losing record overall but they have been playing a lot better in their games lately and are trying to chase down the Twins for the lead of the AL Central who also have a losing record this season. The Guardians have a chance to get closer in the standings here with a series against the worst team in the MLB and after going on a bit of a hot streak, the A's have cooled right down on another losing streak once again. They also have the worst offense in the league and they are going to have a tough time putting up runs on Allen here. Logan Allen hasn't been great this season but he hasn't been bad either and he is also coming off a bad start in his last one which he will be looking to forget about here with a much better performance. There is no better offense to bounce back against than this one and as much as the Guardians offense have struggled on offense this season too, they still have a better offense than the A's and will be able to put runs on Sears who hasn't been having a great season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Athletics Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 22, 2023 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Athletics 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Oakland Athletics: 19-56 (-22.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 19-54 (-20.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 5-16 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 7-27 (-13.9 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Cleveland Guardians: 77-39 (+16.4 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 74-63 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 16-5 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 23-10 UNDER in home games. 

Key Injuries


Oakland Athletics:  K. Smith (SS) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Lovelady (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Rucinski (RP) Late July - Knee. K. Snead (RP) Late June - Shoulder. Z. Jackson (RP) Mid July - Forearm. M. Miller (SP) Early July - Elbow. D. Jimenez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. F. Tarnok (SP) Late June - Shoulder. M. Pina (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist.

Cleveland Guardians:  T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. C. Quantrill (SP) Late June - Shoulder. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Another tough loss. These one-run games, you try to dissect the game and look at what we could have done better, but some of it is pure luck." - Mark Kotsay after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Tuesday.


“Our guys did a really good job. We didn’t knock the ball over the ballpark, for sure, but we were competitive and we hung around, and we found a way to win.” - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Oakland Athletics
Esteury Ruiz (R) CF
Ryan Noda (L) 1B
Brent Rooker (R) DH
Seth Brown (L) LF
Jace Peterson (L) 3B
Aledmys Diaz (R) SS
Ramon Laureano (R) RF
Tony Kemp (L) 2B
Shea Langeliers (R) C

Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Josh Bell (S) DH
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Will Brennan (L) RF
Myles Straw (R) CF
Bo Naylor (L) C

Statistical Leaders


Oakland Athletics
Batting Average:  Esteury Ruiz (.264)
Hits:  Esteury Ruiz (76)
Home Runs:  Brent Rooker (13)
RBI:  Brent Rooker (38)
Stolen Bases:  Esteury Ruiz (37)
Wins:  Shintaro Fujinami (3)
Saves:  Trevor May (3)
ERA:  Zach Jackson (2.50)

Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Tyler Freeman (.292)
Hits:  Jose Ramirez (78)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (11)
RBI:  Josh Naylor (53)
Stolen Bases:  Steven Kwan (12)
Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (21)
ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:
Oakland Athletics: Mark Kotsay (2nd season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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