Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 13, 2021
Venue: Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: ND -4.5, UVA +4.5; Over/Under: 64 points
Bet365: Point Spread: ND -4.5, UVA +4.5; Over/Under: 64 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: ND -4.5, UVA +4.5; Over/Under: 64.5 points
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 8-1 (1st place, FBS Independents)
Virginia Cavaliers: 6-3 (2nd place, ACC Coastal)
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: won at home on Nov. 6 against the Navy Midshipmen 34-6.
Virginia Cavaliers: lost on the road on Oct. 30 against the BYU Cougars 66-49.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Analysis
Notre Dame is coming into this matchup with a 8-1 record overall and they are 2-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have gone on a 4 game winning streak ever since getting their first loss this season and they are coming into this one off of another win in their last game. Jack Coan played well in their last game as he completed 23/29 passes for 269 yards and 1 touchdown. Kyren Williams led the team in rushing with 95 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries while Logan Diggs had 59 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 carries. Kevin Austin had a nice day as he led the receivers with 139 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Kurt Hinish led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Hinish along with Jordan Botelho both had the only sacks in that game for them with 1 each while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 295 points in their 9 games this season averaging 32.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 202 points against them allowing 22.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 393.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 370.7 YPG.
Virginia Cavaliers Analysis
Virginia is coming into this college football game with a 6-3 record overall and they are 4-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are getting one final break from their conference games this season with this last non-conference game on their schedule this year. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped the 4 game winning streak that they were on prior to that game. Brennan Armstrong played well in their last game but he also struggled at times as he completed 22/34 passes for 337 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He also led the team in rushing with 94 yards and 1 touchdown on 11 carries while Devin Darrington had 60 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions. Dontayvion Wicks had a nice day as he led the receivers with 125 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Keytaon Thompson had 91 yards and 1 touchdown on 9 receptions. Jelani Woods and Billy Kemp caught the other touchdown passes in that one with 1 each. Nick Jackson led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 7 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack in that game or came away with an interception. They have scored 350 points in their 9 games this season averaging 38.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 277 points against them allowing 30.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 544.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 466.2 YPG.
Notre Dame vs Virginia Prediction
Notre Dame is coming into this game as a 4.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame just has 1 loss all season and they will want to finish their season off strong with just that 1 loss when all is said and done. Virginia has been playing well in their games on offense but their defense has been really bad and has allowed a lot of points in most of their games. Notre Dame will be able to keep up on offense in this game and their defense is much better and will be able to shut Virginia down on offense. Notre Dame has the edge in this game with their better defense so the best bet to place in this game is on Notre Dame to cover the spread here.
Notre Dame Virginia Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 13, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 34 Virginia 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 176-182 ATS in all games. 116-134 ATS as a favorite. 32-37 ATS as a road favorite. 150-157 ATS after playing a non-conference game.
Virginia Cavaliers: 41-36 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 94-82 ATS as an underdog. 39-30 ATS as a home underdog. 93-86 ATS in home games. 56-53 ATS after playing a non-conference game.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: K. Hamilton (S) Ques Sat - Knee injury. A. Davis (WR) Ques Sat - Knee injury. B. Fisher (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
Virginia Cavaliers: M. Hollins (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. W. Taulapapa (RB) Ques Sat - Head injury. B. Armstrong (QB) Ques Sat - Ribs injury.
“Defensively, we played very well. I mean, we were detailed, we were focused. We trusted our teaching. We trusted the guy next to each other and got back to the foundational principles of playing really good defense and that is communication, assignment, tackling, and that was on display today.” - Brian Kelly on his team’s defense in their win over Navy in their last game.
"We didn't make enough plays to win today. A couple of turnovers ended up being the difference in the game, as it ended up being score for score for score." - Bronco Mendenhall on his team’s loss to BYU in their last game.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
WR Austin Jr., Kevin
WR Lenzy, Braden
WR Davis, Avery
TE Mayer, Michael
QB Coan, Jack
RB Williams, Kyren
WR Wicks, Dontayvion
WR Henry, Ra'Shaun
WR Kemp IV, Billy
TE Woods, Jelani
QB Armstrong, Brennan
RB Taulapapa, Wayne
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Passing: J. Coan (1879)
Rushing: K. Williams (795)
Receiving: K. Austin Jr. (531)
Touchdowns: K. Williams (9)
Passing: B. Armstrong (3557)
Rushing: W. Taulapapa (290)
Receiving: D. Wicks (972)
Touchdowns: D. Wicks (9)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Brian Kelly (12th season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Bronco Mendenhall (6th season)