by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Nov 23, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 25, 2023
Venue: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
Where to Watch: Pac-12 Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Notre Dame -26, Stanford +26; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Notre Dame -26, Stanford +26; Over/Under: 51.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Notre Dame -25.5, Stanford +25.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Season Record
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 8-3 (0-0) (FBS Independent)
Stanford Cardinal: 3-8 (2-7) (11th place, Pac-12)
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Recent Form
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: won their last game at home against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons 45-7.
Stanford Cardinal: lost their last game at home against the California Golden Bears 27-15.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Stanford Cardinal Preview and Analysis
Notre Dame is entering this game with an 8-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Wake Forest 45-7. Sam Hartman was the starting QB and he completed 21/29 passes for 277 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Audric Estime led the team in rushing yards with 115 and 1 TD. Rico Flores Jr. led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 8 receptions. JD Bertrand led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while JD Bertrand and Javontae Jean-Baptiste each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Stanford is entering this game with a 3-8 record overall and they have a 2-7 record in their conference games too. They are 0-6 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against California 27-15. Ashton Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 18/35 passes for 188 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Ashton Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 67. Sam Roush led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Tristan Sinclair led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Gaethan Bernadel, Anthony Franklin, Tobin Phillips, and Lance Keneley each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Zahran Manley came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Notre Dame vs Stanford Prediction
The current betting odds have Notre Dame listed as a 26 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame has looked good in their games this season with their 8-3 record overall but their 3 losses have come against better teams which really put a damper on their year. They don't really have anything to play for now but they just beat Wake Forest 45-7 in their last game and as an Independent they will be looking to finish the season with the best possible record. Meanwhile, Stanford has been terrible this season with their 3-8 record overall and they are one of the worst teams in the Pac-12 with their 2-7 conference record. They are also 0-6 in their home games this year as they have been much worse in those games and Stanford is also a team that has nothing left to play for. Notre Dame has a lot more talent than Stanford does though and Notre Dame will still be playing for their own pride here to finish the season strong while a bad Stanford team with nothing left to play for will have no motivation to keep up with the points Notre Dame put up in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Notre Dame to cover the spread in this game.
Notre Dame Stanford Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 25, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 56 Stanford 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 23-13 ATS in all games. 8-4 ATS in road games. 29-16 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 22-15 OVER in all games. 8-4 OVER in road games. 13-6 OVER off 1 or more straight overs.
Stanford Cardinal: 10-25 ATS in all games. 8-21 ATS as an underdog. 4-14 ATS in home games. 4-12 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-1 OVER off 2 consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals. 9-3 OVER after allowing 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games.
Key Injuries
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: D. Colzie (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Salerno (P) Out indefinitely - Leg. M. Evans (TE) out for season - Knee. K. Bauman (TE) out for season - Knee. K. Smith (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Stanford Cardinal: C. Filkins (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. B. Yurosek (TE) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. J. Humphreys (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Wyrick (S) Out Indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I was just happy to see us go out and execute as a football team. Our offense has been dying to do that for the past three or four weeks. For our fans to get a performance by us that I felt was noteworthy and a fun experience is a game I'll always remember." - Sam Hartman after their win against Wake Forest in their last game.
“Didn’t make enough plays. It all starts with the run game. They beat us up front.” - Troy Taylor after his team’s loss against Cal in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
WR Flores Jr., Rico
WR Thomas, Jayden
WR Tyree, Chris
TE Staes, Holden
QB Hartman, Sam
RB Estimé, Audric
Stanford Cardinal
WR Ayomanor, Elic
WR Bachmeier, Tiger
WR Farrell, Bryce
TE Yurosek, Benjamin
QB Daniels, Ashton
RB Smith, E.J.
FB Taylor, Shield
Statistical Leaders
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Passing: S. Hartman (2549)
Rushing: A. Estime (1103)
Receiving: C. Tyree (446)
Touchdowns: A. Estime (14)
Stanford Cardinal
Passing: A. Daniels (2095)
Rushing: A. Daniels (295)
Receiving: E. Ayomanor (955)
Touchdowns: E. Ayomanor (6)
Coaches:
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (3rd season)
Stanford Cardinal: Troy Taylor (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
