by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 14, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 19, 2022
Venue: Ross–Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Northwestern +18, Purdue -18; Over/Under: 49 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Northwestern +18, Purdue -18; Over/Under: 49 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Northwestern +17.5, Purdue -17.5; Over/Under: 49.5 points
Season Record
Northwestern Wildcats: 1-9 (1-6) (7th place, Big Ten West)
Purdue Boilermakers: 6-4 (4-3) (3rd place, Big Ten West)
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Recent Form
Northwestern Wildcats: lost their last game on the road against the Minnesota Golden Gophers 31-3.
Purdue Boilermakers: won their last game on the road against the Illinois Fighting Illini 31-24.
Northwestern Wildcats vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Northwestern is entering this game with a 1-9 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th road game of the season here as they are 0-4 in their road games this year. This will also be their 8th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-6. They lost against the Minnesota Golden Gophers in their last game on the road 31-3. Brendan Sullivan started that game at QB and he completed 9/11 passes for 94 yards before getting replaced by Ryan Hilinski who completed 3/11 passes for 68 yards and 1 interception. Evan Hull led the team in rushing with 54 yards on 13 rushing attempts. Malik Washington led the team in receiving with 97 yards on 6 receptions. Rod Heard and Devin Turner each led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them and no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one.
Purdue is entering this game with a 6-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 3-2 in their home games this year. This will also be the 8th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 4-3. They won against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game on the road 31-24. Aidan O'Connell started that game at QB and he completed 25/40 passes for 237 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing with 106 yards and 1 TD on 28 carries. TJ Sheffield led the team in receiving with 72 yards on 6 receptions. Sanoussi Kane led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Khordae Sydnor led the defense in sacks with 1 while Kieren Douglas came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction
The current betting odds have Purdue listed as an 18 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue hit a snag during the middle of the season where they weren't playing very well in their games but they have figured things out and have been playing a lot better in their last few games. They just pulled off a big win on the road over a good Illinois team and they also put themselves in a position to have a chance at going to the Big Ten Conference Championship. Northwestern has been having a terrible season with only 1 win all year and they have done nothing in a lot of their road games. They have no road wins this season and in a lot of their road games they have struggled to even score points, getting blown out by over 20 points in a majority of them. Northwestern really has nothing left to play for this year other than spoiler but with Purdue starting to gain a lot of momentum into these final games of the season and still a conference championship to play for, it will be tough for Northwestern to even come close in this game with how bad they have looked on the road this year. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.
Northwestern Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 19, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 38 Northwestern 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Northwestern Wildcats: 21-15 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 18-11 UNDER in all games. 7-1 UNDER as a road underdog of 17.5 to 21 points.
Purdue Boilermakers: 5-10 ATS in home games. 23-15 UNDER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 9-5 UNDER as a favorite.
Key Injuries
Northwestern Wildcats: B. Sullivan (QB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. R. Hilinski (QB) day-to-day - Leg. C. Azema (DB) out for season - Undisclosed.
Purdue Boilermakers: K. Doerue (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. C. Jefferson (S) out for season - Personal. E. Canion (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"Our inability to be successful and sustain drives on third downs led to our defense being on the field too long. Credit to their defense, though. They've been playing really well on defense all year. Today was no different." - Pat Fitzgerald after his team’s loss against Minnesota in their last game.
"We've gone through adversity and had two losses the last two weeks where we didn't look really good and teams kind of after us. But that's college football." - Jeff Brohm after his team’s win against Illinois in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Northwestern Wildcats
WR Washington, Malik
WR Kirtz, Bryce
WR Navarro III, Donny
TE Gordon, Thomas
QB Sullivan, Brendan
RB Hull, Evan
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Sheffield, TJ
WR Jones, Charlie
WR Tracy Jr., Tyrone
TE Durham, Payne
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Mockobee, Devin
Statistical Leaders
Northwestern Wildcats
Passing: R. Hilinski (1619)
Rushing: E. Hull (755)
Receiving: M. Washington (616)
Touchdowns: E. Hull (6)
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: A. O'Connell (2666)
Rushing: D. Mockobee (732)
Receiving: C. Jones (1010)
Touchdowns: C. Jones (10)
Coaches:
Northwestern Wildcats: Pat Fitzgerald (17th season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Jeff Brohm (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
