North Texas Mean Green vs. UTSA Roadrunners: Conference USA Championship Predictions, Preview, Picks & Odds - 12/2/2022

by Chuck Sommers

Wednesday, Nov 30, 2022
Conference USA Championship Game

Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Where to watch: CBS Sports Network

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: UTSA -9
FanDuel: UTSA -8.5
BetMGM: UTSA -8.5
Caesars: UTSA -8.5

Season record
North Texas: 7-5 (6-2 C-USA)
UTSA: 10-2 (8-0 C-USA)

Conference championship week is here, and you can't tell me you don't think these games mean a little bit extra on the books. College Football Playoff implications, the balance of power in the college football landscape to be decided this weekend, starting Friday with a big game notably in Las Vegas. Do you have the right idea when you head to the books for these important games? Our champion handicappers surely have you covered. Will Rogers is running an impressive 24-11-0 in the last month. Al McMordie has also been cashing in heavily with a 40-29-1 mark in college football over the last 30 days. Our guys here have you ready to go for what should be an exciting week. Be tuned to for everything!

North Texas - UTSA preview, analysis and prediction

Last week
North Texas: won 21-17 vs. Rice
UTSA: won 34-31 vs. UTEP

The UTSA roadrunners can put hey stamp on this season with one more victory. After an undefeated conference season and a 10-2 mark, the Roadrunners can push their way to a strong bowl game with a win in the Conference-USA title game on Friday against the North Texas Mean Green, who had to go 6-2 after a 7-5 regular season finish to get to this point.

But pretty much as I've been saying for the majority of the last few weeks when I've talked about UTSA, this is all about them. This is their time of year to show that they belong in the upper class of teams that should be getting some sort of national respect. UTSA continues to impress, so much so to the fact that they have essentially dominated Conference USA play for the better part of this entire season. Hence why they are 8-0.

UTSA is coming off a 34-31 victory over UTEP last week in perhaps what wasn't the most dominant effort UTSA has put together this year. When you consider that UTSA had to score the final twenty points of the game and trailed 31 to 14 at some point, the roadrunners were not having the best game at the time. But Frank Harris did what Frank Harris tends to do, and that plays big when the time calls for it. Harris threw for 382 yards on 16 of 22 passing and three touchdowns to once again have a dominant outing as the UTSA quarterback.

Perhaps it wasn't in the flashiest of ways but if this is the way that Harris is going to go out swinging as the all-time greatest athlete at UTSA, then I guess we really have nothing left to discuss. This kid is insane, this kid is incredible and he is the reason why UTSA is in this position to win a conference championship and to possibly get a very good bowl game to the point where they can send off all of these seniors on the right foot.

When you look at this offense, it really is spectacular what UTSA has put together. They average close to 38 points per game and Harris is averaging about 305 yards passing per game. Defensively, however, it hasn't been the easiest of years for the roadrunners. We're talking about a team that is averaging 408 yards allowed per game and especially through the air, they're giving up about 259. On the ground, they can get away with it giving up just a shade under 150. But the fact that they are also giving up as much through the air as they are what most other teams would, it has required the likes of Harris to win a game or two in a more methodical fashion.

The good news for UTSA coming into this game is that they don't necessarily need to worry about the North Texas passing game as much as they need to deal with the running game. However, UTSA might be in for a rude awakening considering how well North Texas has passed the ball this year. North Texas quarterback Austin Aune finished with 3115 passing yards during the regular season to go along with 31 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Not as efficient nor as eye-popping as Harris did with UTSA, but considering where North Texas started the year and had to finish going from 1-3 to 7-5 is a pretty remarkable feat. North Texas is coming off a 21-17 win over rice last week that's cemented the Mean Green’s spot in the title game.


this is going to be a very fun game, but given that there is home-field advantage and there is a red-hot team in the conference that is awaiting North Texas, I don't see UTSA losing this game period the last time these two teams met it was a close battle, 31-27, a victory for UTSA at home. But a second time is hard to do especially when the home team is as good as it is right now. UTSA by 14

Betting trends

North Texas is 6-0 ATS when playing a team with a winning record the last 2 seasons.

North Texas is 12-4 ATS against conference opponents the last two seasons.

The under is 13-4 after UTSA gains 6.75 or more yards per play in its last game all-time.

Statistical leaders

North Texas:
Passing: Austin Aune -- 3,115 yards, 31 TD, 11 INT
Rushing: Ayo Adeyi -- 690 yards, 4 TD
Receiving: Roderic Burns -- 644 yards, 1 TD

Passing: Frank Harris -- 3,524 yards, 27 TD, 7 INT
Rushing: Brenden Brady -- 699 yards, 9 TD
Receiving: Zakhari Franklin -- 956 yards, 11 TD

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this North Texas Mean Green - UTSA Roadrunners prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily college football projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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