by Rod Pearson
Monday, Dec 01, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, December 5, 2025
Venue: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNT -2.5, Tulane +2.5; Over/Under: 67.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNT -2.5, Tulane +2.5; Over/Under: 67.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNT -2.5, Tulane +2.5; Over/Under: 67.5 points
Season Record
North Texas Mean Green: 11-1 (7-1) (1st place, American)
Tulane Green Wave: 10-2 (7-1) (2nd place, American)
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North Texas Mean Green: won their last game at home against the Temple Owls 52-25.
Tulane Green Wave: won their last game at home against the Charlotte 49ers 27-0.
North Texas Mean Green vs Tulane Green Wave Preview and Analysis
North Texas is entering this game with an 11-1 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Temple 52-25. Drew Mestemaker was the starting QB and he completed 20/24 passes for 366 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Caleb Hawkins led the team in rushing yards with 186 and 4 TDs. Wyatt Young led the receivers with 127 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Ethan Wesloski led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Da'Veawn Armstead came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Tulane is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Charlotte 27-0. Jake Retzlaff was the starting QB and he completed 28/38 passes for 291 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jamauri McClure led the team in rushing yards with 69. Anthony Brown-Stephens led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Chris Rodgers led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jordan Norman and Tavare Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kevin Adams III and Maurice Westmoreland each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
North Texas vs Tulane Prediction
The current betting odds have Tulane listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tulane has looked really good in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the American Conference. They have also looked great on their home field this year with their 6-0 home record. Meanwhile, North Texas has looked great in their games this season with their 11-1 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the American Conference. They have been a great road team too with their 5-0 road record this season. As good as North Texas has looked this season, they really haven't played against many good teams. They had a really weak non-conference schedule to start the season and they beat up on a lot of the bottom teams in the conference all season. Their only good win in the conference was at home against Navy, and they got embarrassed on their own field by South Florida when they played an elite team in the conference. Their offense has been rolling all season as they do put up a ton of points in their games, but their defense has been an issue as they also give up a ton of points. Tulane's only loss was against UTSA which wasn't great, but they got a road win over Memphis and did play a tougher schedule this season so they are going to be better prepared for this game. Tulane can definitely pull off an upset here with the CFP on the line, and the home advantage should give them the edge here. The best way to place a bet here is on Tulane to cover the spread in this game.
North Texas Tulane Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 5, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Tulane 31 North Texas 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
North Texas Mean Green: 15-8 ATS as a favorite. 10-1 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 12-6 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 6-1 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 7-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Tulane Green Wave: 2-7 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders. 3-7 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 4-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 15-5 UNDER in home lined games. 15-6 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.
Key Injuries
North Texas Mean Green: B. Hayes (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. W. Smith (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Scott (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Vaughn (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Clements (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Becks (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Burrell (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Whitter (LB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Shaw (OG) Out - Undisclosed. F. Vailea II (DL) Out - Undisclosed.
Tulane Green Wave: J. Lewis (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Helmke (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Bohanon (WR) Questionable - Lower Body. M. Hodnett (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Leary (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Tchienchou (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Henderson (DL) Out - Undisclosed. L. Husbands (TE) Out - Undisclosed. D. Jackson (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Thompson (TE) Out - Knee. D. Agu (LB) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“Super proud of our kids, first and foremost. Obviously, a ton of distractions this week, and that starts with me. I'm not ignorant enough not to realize that.” - Eric Morris after his team’s win against Temple in their last game.
“I want to coach this thing out no matter what comes next. We're playing for a championship. This place has given me and my family a lot.” - Jon Sumrall after his team’s win against Charlotte in their last game.
Starting Lineups
North Texas Mean Green
WR Sides, Landon
WR Dorner, Cameron
WR Young, Wyatt
WR Coleman, Miles
TE Williams III, Tre
QB Mestemaker, Drew
RB Hawkins, Caleb
Tulane Green Wave
WR Preston, Shazz
WR Brown-Stephens, Anthony
WR Bohanon, Bryce
TE Pascuzzi, Johnny
QB Retzlaff, Jake
RB Gordon, Javin
Statistical Leaders
North Texas Mean Green
Passing: Drew Mestemaker (3,835)
Rushing: Caleb Hawkins (1,216)
Receiving: Wyatt Young (1,203)
Touchdowns: Caleb Hawkins (26)
Tulane Green Wave
Passing: Jake Retzlaff (2,717)
Rushing: Jake Retzlaff (561)
Receiving: Shazz Preston (582)
Touchdowns: Jake Retzlaff (14)
Coaches:
North Texas Mean Green: Eric Morris (3rd season)
Tulane Green Wave: Jon Sumrall (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
