by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 18, 2021
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Riccardo Silva Stadium, Miami, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN3
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNT -10, FIU +10; Over/Under: 58 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNT -10, FIU +10; Over/Under: 57.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNT -10, FIU +10; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Season Record
North Texas Mean Green: 4-6 (3rd place, C-USA West)
Florida International Panthers: 1-9 (7th place, C-USA East)
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North Texas Mean Green vs Florida International Panthers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
North Texas Mean Green: won at home on Nov. 13 against the UTEP Miners 20-17.
Florida International Panthers: lost on the road on Nov. 13 against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 50-10.
North Texas Mean Green Analysis
UNT is coming into this college football game with a 4-6 record overall and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 3-3 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak after another win in their last game. Austin Aune was alright in that game but could have played better as he completed 15/33 passes for 240 yards and 1 touchdown. DeAndre Torrey led the team in rushing with 61 yards on 18 carries while Isaiah Johnson had 50 yards on 16 carries. Aune ran in 1 TD himself on the ground as well. Roderic Burns led the receivers with 93 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions while Detraveon Brown had 70 yards on 2 receptions. DeShawn Gaddie led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Dion Novil, Gabriel Murphy, and Kameron Hill all had the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Kevin Wood came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 249 points in their 10 games this season averaging 24.9 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 300 points against them allowing 30 PPG. Their offense is averaging 421.9 YPG while the Mean Green’s defense is allowing 392.7 YPG.
Florida International Panthers Analysis
The FIU Panthers are coming into this FBS game with a 1-9 record overall and they are 1-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 0-6 in their conference games this season. They only have 1 win all season and that came in their season opener, they have gone on a 9 game losing streak since then, coming into this one off of another loss in their last game. Max Bortenschlager did not play well in that game as he completed 9/20 passes for 68 yards and 2 interceptions. Eric Wilson Jr. led the team in rushing with 42 yards on 10 carries while Shaun Peterson Jr. also had 10 carries for 39 yards. Maleek Williams ran in the only TD for them in that game. Bryce Singleton led the receivers with 33 yards on 4 receptions in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Richard Dames led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Daniel Jackson was right behind with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Gaethan Bernadel had the only sack in that game for them while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 220 points in their 10 games this season averaging 22 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 390 points against them allowing 39 PPG. Their offense is averaging 377.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 485.7 YPG.
North Texas vs Florida International Prediction
UNT is coming into this game as a 10 point favorite and the point total set at 58 with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UNT had a very bad start to their season but as the weeks went on they have started to play much better and they are coming into this one after 3 straight wins. They have also been playing much better against their conference opponents recently. FIU has been bad all season with just 1 win on the year and they are coming off of a game where they were smashed again by 40 points. UNT still has a chance to become bowl eligible if they win out while the season is pretty much over for FIU. The best bet to place in this game is on UNT to cover the spread here as they are the better team and have more motivation to try hard to win this game.
North Texas Florida International Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is UNT 41 FIU 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
North Texas betting trends: 11-14 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 100-109 O/U in all games. 27-39 O/U as a favorite. 5-13 O/U as a road favorite. 49-58 O/U in road games. 57-77 O/U against conference opponents.
Florida International betting trends: 19-29 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 89-105 ATS in all games. 15-27 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 64-70 ATS as an underdog. 38-50 ATS in home games. 58-66 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
North Texas Mean Green: Q. Whitlock (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. T. Bush (WR) out for season - Leg injury. O. Adaway III (RB) out for season - Knee injury.
Florida International Panthers: D. Price (RB) Out Sat - Lower Body injury. S. Thornton (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Notable Quotes
"We're the same team. We've had the same fight all year. We just haven't had things go our way. This a great group and they want to win and we'll scratch and claw until we get wins. It's a great group of guys and they're really fun to play with." - Austin Aune on their team this season.
"This year has been a nightmare. You can imagine the players' reaction when a head coach's job was posted online. The administration has been sabotaging the program. Their decision to post the job has resulted in a major negative impact on the football program and our ability to recruit and retain players." - Butch Davis on hastily leaving the program ahead of their last 2 games of the season.
Starting Lineups
North Texas Mean Green
WR Jackson, Bryson
WR Damon Ward Jr.
WR Roderic Burns
TE Roberts, Jake
HB Jason Pirtle
QB Aune, Austin
RB Torrey, DeAndre
Florida International Panthers
WR Singleton, Bryce
WR Tyrese Chambers
TE Palmer, Sterling
QB Bortenschlager, Max
RB D'vonte Price
Statistical Leaders
North Texas Stats
Passing: A. Aune (1428)
Rushing: D. Torrey (997)
Receiving: R. Burns (596)
Touchdowns: D. Torrey (8)
Florida International Stats
Passing: M. Bortenschlager (2537)
Rushing: D. Price (682)
Receiving: T. Chambers (849)
Touchdowns: D. Price (7)
Coaches:
North Texas Mean Green: Seth Littrell (6th season)
Florida International Panthers: Butch Davis (5th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
