North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/05/2022

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 5, 2022

Venue:  Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA

Where to Watch:  ACC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC -9.5, UVA +9.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC -9.5, UVA +9.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC -9.5, UVA +9.5; Over/Under:  59.5 points

 

North Carolina Tar Heels:  7-1 (4-0) (1st place, ACC Coastal)

Virginia Cavaliers:  3-5 (1-4) (6th place, ACC Coastal)

 

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North Carolina Tar Heels:  won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Panthers 42-24.

Virginia Cavaliers:  lost their last game at home against the Miami Hurricanes 14-12 in OT.

 

UNC is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th road game of the season here as they are 4-0 in their road games this year. This will also be their 5th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 4-0. They won against the Pittsburgh Panthers in their last game at home 42-24. Drake Maye started that game at QB and he completed 34/44 passes for 388 yards and 5 touchdowns. Drake Maye also led the team in rushing with 61 yards on 14 rushing attempts. Antoine Green led the team in receiving with 180 yards and 2 TDs on 10 receptions while Josh Downs also had 102 receiving yards and 2 TDs on 11 catches. Storm Duck led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Kaimon Rucker and Raneiria Dillworth each led the defense in sacks with 0.5 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

UVA is entering this game with a 3-5 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 2-2 in their home games this year. This will also be the 6th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-4. They lost against the Miami Hurricanes in their last game at home 14-12 in overtime. Brennan Armstrong started that game at QB and he completed 15/25 passes for 208 yards. Brennan Armstrong led the team in rushing with 67 yards on 20 carries. Mike Hollins led the team in receiving with 64 yards on 1 reception. Coen King led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles. Antonio Clary and Chico Bennett, Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have UNC listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UNC looked really shaky for a lot of the game when they played Pitt last week but their offense finally showed up in the 4th quarter of that game as they put up 21 points in the final quarter to win by double digits. This team has been through a lot of adversity in their games but they are in prime position to go to the ACC Finals right now and their fate is in their own hands as they lead their division in the ACC. Their defense isn't that great as they have been giving up a ton of points in every game but Virginia doesn't have a good offense at all as they have struggled to score points this season and they have struggled to even move the ball on offense in a lot of their games. Their strength is on their defense as it has kept them in some of their games but this UNC offense is scoring so many points in their games that it will be hard for Virginia to stop them for a whole 60 mins. Eventually UNC is going to wear down this defense and they will be able to pull away in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on UNC to cover the spread in this game.

 

North Carolina Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 5, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is UNC 35 UVA 17.

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North Carolina Tar Heels: 3-11 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 17-39 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 27-13 UNDER after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored.

Virginia Cavaliers: 9-2 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 49-27 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 111-75 UNDER against conference opponents.

 

 

North Carolina Tar Heels:  S. Cheeks (LB) out for season - Shoulder. T. Craft (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness. B. Brooks (RB) out for season - Lower Body.

Virginia Cavaliers:  B. Armstrong (QB) day-to-day - Leg. R. Walker Jr. (RB) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. M. Fields (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. A. Foston (RB) out for season - Knee.

 

 

"I think that's the toughest game that we've had, the most physical game that we've won since we've been here in 3 1/2 years." - Mack Brown after his team’s win against Pittsburgh in their last game.

 

 

“That’s been the theme with us offensively, is we’re just leaving points on the field.” - Tony Elliott after his team’s loss against Miami in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Green, Antoine

WR Jones, J.J.  

WR Downs, Josh 

TE Morales, Kamari

QB Maye, Drake

RB Jones, D.J. 

 

WR Wicks, Dontayvion

WR Davis Jr., Lavel

WR Thompson, Keytaon 

TE Misch, Grant

QB Armstrong, Brennan

RB Jones, Perris 

 

Passing: D. Maye (2671)

Rushing: D. Maye (439)

Receiving: A. Green (564)

Touchdowns: J. Downs (7)

 

Passing: B. Armstrong (1826)

Rushing: P. Jones (365)

Receiving: K. Thompson (579)

Touchdowns: P. Jones (4)

 

Coaches:

North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (4th season, 14th season non-consecutive)

Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Elliott (1st season)