by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Saturday, Nov 20, 2021
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
Where to Watch: ESPNews
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNC +6, Purdue -6; Over/Under: 153 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNC +6, Purdue -6; Over/Under: 153 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNC +6.5, Purdue -6.5; Over/Under: 153.5 points
Season Record
North Carolina Tar Heels: 3-0 (4th place, ACC)
Purdue Boilermakers: 3-0 (3rd place, Big Ten)
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North Carolina Tar Heels vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
North Carolina Tar Heels: won on the road on Nov. 16 against the Charleston Cougars 94-83.
Purdue Boilermakers: won at home on Nov. 16 against the Wright State Raiders 96-52.
North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis
UNC is coming into this college basketball game with a 3-0 record overall and they are 1-0 in their road games this season but this game will be on a neutral site. They have won 3 straight games to start their regular season off with those wins coming against the Loyola MD Greyhounds, the Brown Bears, and the Charleston Cougars in their last game but this is by far their toughest opponents so far. Armando Bacot went off in their last game as he led the team in points with 24 while guard Caleb Love was next on the team with 22 points. Brady Manek and Kerwin Walton both had good games off the bench with 17 and 14 points respectively. Love led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bacot led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 54.2% from the field, 35% from 3-point range, and 71.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 79 PPG against them. UNC has an ATS record of 0-3 this season and their O/U record is 2-1.
Purdue Boilermakers Analysis
Purdue is coming into this game with a 3-0 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season but this game will be on a neutral site instead. They have won 3 straight games to start their season off with those wins coming against the Bellarmine Knights, the Indiana State Sycamores, and the Wright State Raiders in their last game but this will be their toughest opponents that they have faced so far. Trevion Williams led the team off the bench in their last game with 20 points while center Zach Edey was next on the team with 18 points. Eric Hunter Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Williams led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 52.2% from the field, 39.3% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 94.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 62 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 2-1 this season while their O/U record is 2-1.
North Carolina vs Purdue Prediction
UNC is coming into this matchup as a 6 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue is ranked higher than UNC is this season and that has to burn at UNC a bit. UNC is an established program that has been successful and in the top 10 for years with consistent performances year after year. Both of these teams are off to a great start to their season undefeated through 3 games and no one has the home advantage here either. This should be a closer game between 2 good teams that UNC even has a chance at winning the game. The best bet to place in this game is on UNC to cover the spread here.
North Carolina Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 74 UNC 72.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
North Carolina Tar Heels: 363-343 O/U in all games. 123-116 O/U when the total is 150 to 159.5. 92-86 O/U in all neutral court games. 154-145 O/U after a non-conference game.
Purdue Boilermakers: 298-294 O/U in all games. 196-180 O/U as a favorite. 77-51 O/U in all neutral court games. 50-27 O/U as a neutral court favorite or pick. 44-34 O/U in November games.
Key Injuries
North Carolina Tar Heels: P. Johnson (G) Ques Sat - Hip injury.
Purdue Boilermakers: B. Waddell (F) out for season - Knee injury. M. Gillis (F) Elig Nov 30 - Suspension.
Notable Quotes
“He's been there before. He's played in tough games and been in tough situations and environments. That's why he's one of our captains, because not only can he lead us on the court, he can lead us off the court.” - Head coach Hubert Davis on the performance of Armando Bacot in their win against Charleston in their last game.
"It's a great achievement. I put the work in. I dedicated myself, and I sacrificed to get my body right to prepare for teams like this and moments like this.” - Trevion Williams on scoring over 1000 points as a Boilermaker.
Starting Lineups
North Carolina Tar Heels
A. Bacot
L. Black
R. Davis
D. Garcia
C. Love
Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey
C. Furst
J. Ivey
S. Stefanovic
I. Thompson
Statistical Leaders
North Carolina Tar Heels
PPG: C. Love (19)
APG: R. Davis (5)
Reb/G: A. Bacot (9.3)
Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: Z. Edey (18.7)
APG: J. Ivey (3.3)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (10.3)
Coaches:
North Carolina Tar Heels: Hubert Davis (1st season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (17th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
