North Carolina Tar Heels vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/28/2022

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 28, 2022

Venue:  Petco Park, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  Fox

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC +14.5, Oregon -14.5; Over/Under:  73.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC +14.5, Oregon -14.5; Over/Under:  73.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC +14, Oregon -14; Over/Under:  73.5 points

 

North Carolina Tar Heels:  9-4 (6-2) (1st place, ACC Coastal)

Oregon Ducks:  9-3 (7-2) (4th place, PAC-12)

 

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North Carolina Tar Heels:  lost their last game on a neutral site against the Clemson Tigers 39-10.

Oregon Ducks:  lost their last game on the road against the Oregon State Beavers 38-34.

 

North Carolina is entering this Holiday Bowl game with a 9-4 record overall to end their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd neutral site game of the season here as they are 0-1 in those games this year. They lost against the Clemson Tigers in their last game on a neutral site 39-10. Drake Maye started that game at QB and he completed 26/42 passes for 268 yards and 2 interceptions. Elijah Green led the team in rushing with 65 yards on 21 rushing attempts. Josh Downs led the team in receiving with 100 yards on 11 receptions. Will Hardy led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them and no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one.

 

 

 

Oregon is entering this Holiday Bowl game with a 9-3 record overall to finish their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd neutral site game of the season as they are 0-1 in those games this year. They lost against the Oregon State Beavers in their last game on the road 38-34. Bo Nix started that game at QB and he completed 27/41 passes for 327 yards and 2 touchdowns. Noah Whittington led the team in rushing with 81 yards and 1 TD on 16 carries. Chase Cota led the team in receiving with 136 yards and 1 TD on 9 catches. Bennett Williams led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Noah Sewell and Keyon Ware-Hudson each led the defense in sacks with 0.5 while Jeffrey Bassa and Christian Gonzalez each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have North Carolina listed as a 14.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams had very good seasons this year with UNC going all the way to the ACC Championship while Oregon just missed out on the PAC-12 Championship but were in CFP conversation for a lot of the year. Bo Nix has decided to return to Oregon for another year so he will be starting in this game while Drake Maye has been receiving a ton of offers for the season he had but so far he seems to be staying and playing in this game. Oregon is going to score points in this game as UNC has a terrible defense that has been giving up a ton of points all year. UNC also has a great offense though that will keep them in this game by scoring a ton of points too. The Oregon defense has also shown its cracks this season when they aren't playing at home and they just blew a huge lead in their final game of the regular season on the road against their rival school Oregon State when a win in that game could have seen them in the PAC-12 Title game. Both of these offenses are going to be hard to stop in this game and this is just too many points for Oregon to cover here when their defense hasn't been that great and UNC already knows that it's their offense that will keep them in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on North Carolina to cover the spread in this game.

 

North Carolina Oregon Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Wednesday, December 28, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Oregon 45 UNC 41.

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North Carolina Tar Heels: 15-22 ATS in all games. 4-12 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 12-7 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

Oregon Ducks: 8-2 ATS as a favorite. 6-0 ATS after playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored. 15-8 OVER as a favorite.

 

 

North Carolina Tar Heels:  C. Hood (RB) Ques Dec 28 - Undisclosed. N. Taylor (LB) out for season - Lower Body. S. Cheeks (LB) out for season - Shoulder. T. Craft (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness. B. Brooks (RB) out for season - Lower Body.

Oregon Ducks:  None.

 

 

“The better Drake is, the better we are. Drake didn’t hire him, but he sure did approve of him and that was very, very important to me as we were moving forward.” - Mack Brown on his starting QB Drake Maye and what he means to the team.

 

 

“Coach Smith was very well prepared for this game. We were prepared for half or three quarters of the game as it turned out.” - Dan Lanning after his team’s loss against Oregon State in their last game of the regular season.

 

 

 

WR Green, Antoine

WR Jones, J.J.  

WR Paysour, Kobe  

TE Morales, Kamari

QB Maye, Drake

RB Green, Elijah 

 

WR Franklin, Troy

WR Cota, Chase

WR Hutson, Kris 

TE Ferguson, Terrance

QB Nix, Bo

RB Irving, Mar'Keise

 

 

Passing: D. Maye (4115)

Rushing: D. Maye (653)

Receiving: J. Downs (1029)

Touchdowns: J. Downs (11)

 

Passing: B. Nix (3389)

Rushing: M. Irving (903)

Receiving: T. Franklin (867)

Touchdowns: B. Nix (14)

 

Coaches:

North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (4th season, 14th season non-consecutive)

Oregon Ducks: Dan Lanning (1st season)