North Carolina Tar Heels vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/26/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, November 26, 2021
Venue:  Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC +6.5, NCST -6.5; Over/Under:  63 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC +6.5, NCST -6.5; Over/Under:  63 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC +6.5, NCST -6.5; Over/Under:  63 points
 

Season Record

North Carolina Tar Heels:  6-5 (5th place, ACC Coastal)
North Carolina State Wolfpack:  8-3 (3rd place, ACC Atlantic)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Larry Ness has a CFB record of 14-5 CFB in Nov / 50-31-2, +$14,811 YTD! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

North Carolina Tar Heels vs North Carolina State Wolfpack Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
North Carolina Tar Heels:  won at home on Nov. 20 against the Wofford Terriers 34-14.
North Carolina State Wolfpack:  won at home on Nov. 20 against the Syracuse Orange 41-17.
 
 
 

North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis

UNC is coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 0-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th Atlantic Coast Conference matchup of the year and they are currently 3-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Sam Howell did not play in that game since they were not up against an opponent from the FBS. Both the quarterbacks were alright for UNC as Jacolby Criswell completed 11/19 passes for 125 yards and Drake Maye completed 7/9 passes for 89 yards and 1 touchdown. British Brooks led the team in rushing with 89 yards and 2 touchdowns on 7 carries while Ty Chandler led the team in carries with 10 for 78 yards. Criswell also ran in 1 TD on the ground himself in that one. Josh Downs led the receivers with 89 yards on 8 receptions while JJ Jones had 61 yards on 3 receptions. Kamari Morales caught the lone touchdown pass in that one. Giovanni Biggers led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. No one on the defense recorded a sack in that game while Kyler McMichael came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 407 points in their 11 games this season averaging 37 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 345 points against them allowing 31.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 482.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 412.4 YPG.
 
 

North Carolina State Wolfpack Analysis

NC State is coming into this game with an 8-3 record overall and they are 6-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game on Friday instead of the usual Saturday. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their football schedule this year and they are currently 5-2 in their conference games this college football season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of another win in their last game. Devin Leary played well in that game as he completed 17/24 passes for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and no interceptions. Ricky Person Jr. led the team in rushing with 50 yards and 1 touchdown on 12 carries. Thayer Thomas led the receivers with 80 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Christopher Toudle caught the other touchdown pass. Levi Jones led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones along with 1 sack. Drake Thomas led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 and he also came up with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 363 points in their 11 games this season averaging 33 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 206 points against them allowing 18.7 PPG. Their offense is averaging 420 YPG while their defense is allowing 321.5 YPG.
 

 

North Carolina vs North Carolina State Prediction

The NC State Wolfpack is coming into this game as a 6.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. NC State have been playing very well in their recent games, winning a lot of those games by double digits. UNC has been playing better recently but they have not been playing tough opponents either. NC State is undefeated at home this season and they have been consistently good all year. The best bet to place in this game is on NC State to cover the spread here as they have a good defense and will be able to stop UNC from scoring while UNC does not have a good defense so NC State will be able to pull away as the game goes on.
 
North Carolina North Carolina State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 26, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is NC State 42 UNC 26.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert college football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this North Carolina Tar Heels North Carolina State Wolfpack prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAA football predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
North Carolina Tar Heels: 27-30 O/U as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 132-139 O/U in all games. 24-32 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 88-96 O/U against conference opponents.
North Carolina State Wolfpack: 17-28 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 123-137 O/U in all games. 21-37 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 52-74 O/U as a favorite. 29-49 O/U as a home favorite. 62-71 O/U in home games. 82-98 O/U against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
North Carolina Tar Heels:  D. Jones (RB) Ques Fri - Lower Body injury. S. Howell (QB) Ques Fri - Upper Body injury. T. Hopper (LB) Out indefinitely - Upper Body injury.
North Carolina State Wolfpack:  I. Moore (LB) out for season - Knee injury. C. Zavala (OL) out for season - Undisclosed injury. P. Wilson (LB) out for season - Shoulder injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I was really proud of British Brooks, him going in and gaining 80-plus yards on his Senior Day. And he's the ultimate story of success, coming in as a walk-on." - Mack Brown on his team’s win against Wofford in their last game.
 
 
"It was great to see our defense score. It was great to see our special teams score. There was a lot of complementary football there. It's pretty cool to be in a game where you score in all three phases of the game." - Head coach Dave Doeren on his team’s win against Syracuse in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
North Carolina Tar Heels
WR Olson, Justin  
WR Green, Antoine 
WR Josh Downs
TE Walston, Garrett 
QB Howell, Sam 
RB Chandler, Ty 
 
North Carolina State Wolfpack
WR Carter, Devin 
WR Emeka Emezie
WR Thomas, Thayer 
TE Parham, Dylan 
HB Pennix, Trent 
QB Leary, Devin 
RB Zonovan Knight 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
North Carolina Tar Heels
Passing: S. Howell (2704)
Rushing: T. Chandler (1004)
Receiving: J. Downs (1198)
Touchdowns: T. Chandler (13)
 
North Carolina State Wolfpack
Passing: D. Leary (3186)
Rushing: Z. Knight (684)
Receiving: E. Emezie (690)
Touchdowns: T. Thomas (7)
 
Coaches:
North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (3rd season)
North Carolina State Wolfpack: Dave Doeren (9th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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