North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/08/2022

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 8, 2022

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC +3.5, Miami-FL -3.5; Over/Under:  66 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC +3.5, Miami-FL -3.5; Over/Under:  66 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC +3.5, Miami-FL -3.5; Over/Under:  66.5 points

 

North Carolina Tar Heels:  4-1 (1-0) (1st place, ACC Coastal)

Miami Hurricanes:  2-2 (0-0) (6th place, ACC Coastal)

 

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North Carolina Tar Heels:  won their last game at home against the Virginia Tech Hokies 41-10.

Miami Hurricanes:  lost their last game at home against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 45-31.

 

UNC is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 2-0 in their road games this year. This will also be their 2nd conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-0. They won against the Virginia Tech Hokies in their last game at home 41-10. Drake Maye started that game at QB and he completed 26/36 passes for 363 yards and 3 touchdowns. Drake Maye led the team in rushing with 73 yards and 2 TDs on 13 rushing attempts. Josh Downs led the team in receiving with 120 yards on 8 receptions. Power Echols led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Randy Caldwell and Jacolbe Cowan each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Cedric Gray came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th home game of the season as they are 2-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 1st conference matchup on their conference schedule this season. They lost against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders in their last game at home 45-31. Tyler Van Dyke started that game at QB and he completed 16/32 passes for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions before getting benched for Jake Garcia who completed 10/19 passes for 169 yards. Henry Parrish Jr. led the team in rushing with 57 yards on 14 carries. Keyshawn Smith led the team in receiving with 81 yards on 4 receptions. Te'Cory Couch led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Corey Flagg Jr. and Jahfari Harvey each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Kamren Kinchens came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have UNC listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UNC just won their last game at home over VA Tech and they were great in that game with a win by over 30 points. UNC has won both of their road games this year and already have a win in the conference now. Their offense has been great in their games as they put up a ton of points in every game they play, but their defense hasn't been as good as they give up a ton of points too. Miami just took a bad loss at home in their last game though, losing by double digits to Middle Tennessee State in a home game that they should have won no problem. Miami is supposed to have a very good defense but giving up over 40 points at home to a team like Middle Tennessee is not very good, and the way this UNC offense puts up points they will keep themselves in this game the entire time. That wasn't the 1st time this year Miami didn't play well in at home, they had a similar game against Southern Miss where they really struggled to get going at the start of the game. UNC has a very good offense that will score points in this game and Miami could find themselves playing from behind if they don't get off to a quick start. The best way to place a bet here is on UNC to cover the spread in this game.

 

North Carolina Miami Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 8, 2022 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Miami 33 UNC 30.

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North Carolina Tar Heels: 0-8 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 1-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 13-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63.

Miami Hurricanes: 12-6 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70. 24-16 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 7-1 UNDER off a double digit upset loss as a favorite of 6 more points.

 

 

North Carolina Tar Heels:  S. Cheeks (LB) out for season - Shoulder. J. Conley (DB) Mid Oct - Lower Body. T. Craft (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness. B. Brooks (RB) out for season - Lower Body.

Miami Hurricanes:  X. Restrepo (WR) Mid Nov - Foot. J. George (WR) Late Oct - Thumb. E. Arroyo (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

 

 

"Drake continues to do some amazing things. Standing in the pocket or moving and finding the open guy, he's a special player." - Mack Brown after his team’s win against VA Tech in their last game.

 

 

"They coached better than us, they played better than us. They were better. We didn't do a good enough job. There's no excuse. Real men look in the mirror and do something about it and don't allow any cracks to happen from the inside. We all came here for a purpose and a reason. We've got a lot of work to do." - Mario Cristobal after his team’s loss against MTSU in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Green, Antoine

WR Blackwell, Gavin 

WR Downs, Josh 

TE Morales, Kamari

QB Maye, Drake

RB Jones, D.J. 

 

WR Smith, Key'Shawn

WR Redding III, Michael

WR Smith, Brashard 

TE Mallory, Will 

QB Van Dyke, Tyler

RB Parrish Jr., Henry 

 

 

Passing: D. Maye (1594)

Rushing: O. Hampton (293)

Receiving: B. Nesbit (237)

Touchdowns: O. Hampton (6)

 

Passing: T. Van Dyke (801)

Rushing: H. Parrish Jr. (347)

Receiving: X. Restrepo (172)

Touchdowns: H. Parrish Jr. (5) 

 

Coaches:

North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (4th season, 14th season non-consecutive)

Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (1st season)