North Carolina Tar Heels vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 25, 2021
Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  ACC Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC -12.5, GT +12.5; Over/Under:  63 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC -12.5, GT +12.5; Over/Under:  63.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC -13, GT +13; Over/Under:  63.5 points

Season Record

North Carolina Tar Heels:  2-1 (2nd place, ACC Coastal)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets:  1-2 (7th place, ACC Coastal)
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North Carolina Tar Heels vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
North Carolina Tar Heels:  won at home on Sep.18 against the Virginia Cavaliers 59-39.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets:  lost on the road on Sep. 18 against the Clemson Tigers 14-8.

North Carolina Tar Heels Analysis

UNC is coming into this game with a 2-1 record overall and they are 1-1 in their conference games this season. This will be another conference matchup but they are also 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. It is not technically a road game though as it will be played on a neutral field. They lost their first game of the season against the Virginia Tech Hokies. They followed that one up with 2 wins against the Georgia State Panthers and the Virginia Cavaliers in their last game. Sam Howell played well in that game as he completed 14/21 passes for 307 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception. Their run game had a big day in that one with Ty Chandler leading the way for the. He had 198 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 20 carries while Sam Howell was right behind him with 112 rushing yards on 15 carries. Josh Downs had a massive day for the receiving corps as he had 203 yards and 2 touchdowns on 8 receptions. Khafre Brown also had a good day with 75 receiving yards and 1 TD on 1 reception. Cedric Gray led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one while Jeremiah Gemmel had 5 solo tackles himself. Kaimon Rucker led the team in sacks with 2 while Tomon Fox also recorded 1 in that game. It was Ja'Qurious Conley who had the only interception in that game for his team. They have scored 128 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 73 points against them. Their offense is averaging 553.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 380.3 YPG.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Analysis

Georgia Tech is coming into this game with a 1-2 record overall and is 0-1 when playing in their conference games. This game will be another conference matchup for them on a neutral site this time. Their 1 win came against the Kennesaw State Owls while their 2 losses came against the Northern Illinois Huskies in their season opener and the Clemson Tigers in their last game. Jordan Yates had a pretty good game in that one as he completed 20/33 passes for 203 yards. They did not have much of a run game though as he also led the team in rushing with 32 yards on 6 carries. Jahmyr Gibbs was right behind him with 30 rushing yards on 11 carries. Kyric McGowan led the receivers with 82 yards on 4 receptions. Tariq Carpenter led the defense with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones in that game. No one on the defense was able to record a sack or an interception in that one though. They have scored 74 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 53 points against them. Their offense is averaging 383.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 285.7 YPG.


North Carolina vs Georgia Tech Prediction

The GT Yellow Jackets have not looked too good on offense this season especially up against the FBS teams they have played. They have not allowed too many points either but they are struggling to score in those games. UNC has finally let their offense out, almost putting up 60 points in back to back games. Ever since they lost their first game they have responded with 2 wins of more than 20 points in each. Georgia Tech does not even get the home advantage here even though it will be in their state still. UNC is likely going to crush them here as they will not want to lose another conference game with the 1 loss already. Their offense will score enough points in this game to cover the spread, that is the best bet to make here.
North Carolina Georgia Tech Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 25, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is UNC 45 GT 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

North Carolina Tar Heels: 13-30 ATS after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game. 10-25 ATS after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: 9-14 ATS in all games. 9-13 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points.

Key Injuries

North Carolina Tar Heels:  T. Hopper (LB) Out Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Brooks (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. D. Jones (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets:  J. Sims (QB) Ques Sat - Arm injury. L. Blackburn (WR) out for season - Knee injury.

Players to Watch

North Carolina Tar Heels: Josh Downs is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in receiving yards and in touchdowns. He played a big part in last week’s win so look for him to keep up that good play and carry it into this game as they look for another conference win.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Kyric McGowan is one player to watch here. He leads his team in receiving yards and in touchdowns. He will need to play well here if he wants his team to win in this game so look for him to get a lot of balls thrown his way.

Notable Quotes

"It was fun to watch them and both of them put on an absolute show, and Sam just had more help with the running game." - Mack Brown after a big win against UVA.
“I apologize for taking a little longer than normal (to arrive to the news conference), but that one hurt. There’s a lot of guys that played really, really hard in that locker room and I owe it to them to make sure I’m around them, make sure (they know) how much we appreciate them, love them and appreciate how hard they fought and how hard they played. Hats off to Northern Illinois. Played a really good football game and beat us.” - Geoff Collins after losing a close one to NIU.

Starting Lineups

North Carolina Tar Heels
WR Simmons, Emery 
WR Green, Antoine 
WR Downs, Josh 
TE Walston, Garrett 
QB Howell, Sam 
RB Chandler, Ty 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
WR Carter, Malachi 
WR Sanders, Adonicas 
WR McGowan, Kyric 
TE Leonard, Dylan 
QB Yates, Jordan 
RB Mason, Jordan 

Statistical Leaders

North Carolina Tar Heels
Passing: S. Howell (867)
Rushing: T. Chandler (322)
Receiving: J. Downs (399)
Touchdowns: J. Downs (4)
Sacks: K. Rucker (2.5)
Tackles: J. Conley (14)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Passing: J. Yates (592)
Rushing: J. Gibbs (185)
Receiving: K. McGowan (195)
Touchdowns: K. McGowan (3)
Sacks: J. Domineck (1)
Tackles: A. Eley (16)
North Carolina Tar Heels: (Mack Brown 3rd season)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Geoff Collins (3rd season)

Weather Forecast

73 degrees F mostly sunny, 60% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 7 mph wind speeds NW.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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