North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/27/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jan 26, 2024
Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 27, 2024
Venue:  Donald L. Tucker Civic Center, Tallahassee, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC -7, FSU +7; Over/Under:  154.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC -7, FSU +7; Over/Under:  154.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC -7, FSU +7; Over/Under:  154.5 points

Season Record

North Carolina Tar Heels:  16-3 (8-0) (1st place, ACC)
Florida State Seminoles:  12-7 (6-2) (2nd place, ACC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Tom Stryker is on a HOT STREAK in college basketball on a 30-17-2 CBB RUN for +$11,150 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
North Carolina Tar Heels:  5-0  last 5
Florida State Seminoles:  4-1  last 5


North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles Preview and Analysis


North Carolina is entering this game with a 16-3 record overall, a 8-0 record in conference games, and they are 4-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in their last game. RJ Davis led the team in points per game in that game with 36 while Elliot Cadeau was next on the team with 14. Elliot Cadeau led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Harrison Ingram led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 52.5% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.1 PPG against them. North Carolina has an ATS record of 12-7 this season and their O/U record is 9-9-1.


Florida State is entering this game with a 12-7 record overall, a 6-2 conference record, and they are 7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Syracuse Orange in their last game. Jamir Watkins led the team in points in that game with 27 while Amir Spears was next on the team with 13. Amir Spears led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Jamir Watkins led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 49.2% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.3 PPG against them. Florida State has an ATS record of 11-7-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-7.



North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction

The current betting odds have North Carolina listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. North Carolina has looked great in their games this season with their 16-3 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country, currently ranked 3rd in the nation. They have looked great in the ACC with their 8-0 conference record and they also haven't had any problems in their road games this season with their 4-0 road record. Meanwhile, Florida State has also looked good in their games this season with their 12-7 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC in 2nd place. They haven't looked great in their home games though, they haven't been a bad home team but they still have 4 losses there this season with their 7-4 home record. UNC is on another level right now in the conference as they are out to prove last year was a fluke and they are ready to compete as one of the best teams in the nation this season. The ACC isn't as strong as a conference this season either with some of the ranked teams not looking as good as they were last season so this conference is UNC's to win right now and they know it. The best way to place a bet here is on North Carolina to cover the spread in this game. 

North Carolina Florida State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 27, 2024 (2:00 pm ET start time) is UNC 84 FSU 70.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this North Carolina Tar Heels Florida State Seminoles prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


North Carolina Tar Heels: 11-5 ATS as a favorite. 10-4 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 10-3 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 34-18 OVER after 9 or more consecutive wins. 8-3 OVER after scoring 75 points or more in 4 straight games. 

Florida State Seminoles: 6-15 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 15-22 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 7-17 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds. 24-15 OVER as an underdog. 26-16 OVER in all home games. 10-4 OVER off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog.

Key Injuries


North Carolina Tar Heels:  None.

Florida State Seminoles:  C. Fletcher (G) out for season - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“I feel like I'm in my backyard just out there hooping, just trying things out, a zone that every hooper knows.” - Hubert Davis after his team’s win against Wake Forest in their last game on Monday.


"I'm pleased with the steps we've made, but I don't want to make baby steps. We need to be the best version of who we are to compete consistently in ACC.. I don't have many reasons to stick my chest out. but I do feel I see what we're capable of. North Carolina has found a way to get to that magic level and they don't have the dips that some of the other teams in our league." - Leonard Hamilton on his team competing in the ACC this season.


Starting Lineups


North Carolina Tar Heels
A. Bacot 
E. Cadeau 
R. Davis 
H. Ingram 
C. Ryan

Florida State Seminoles
D. Green 
D. Green 
B. Miller 
J. Warley 
J. Watkins

Statistical Leaders


North Carolina Tar Heels
PPG: R. Davis (21)
APG: E. Cadeau (3.5)
Reb/G: A. Bacot (10.3)

Florida State Seminoles
PPG: J. Watkins (13.9)
APG: J. Watkins (3)
Reb/G: J. Watkins (6.1)

Coaches:
North Carolina Tar Heels: Hubert Davis (3rd season)
Florida State Seminoles: Leonard Hamilton (22nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2024 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.