North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/15/2022

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 15, 2022

Venue:  Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC 

Where to Watch:  ACC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNC -7, Duke +7; Over/Under:  67.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNC -7, Duke +7; Over/Under:  67.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNC -7, Duke +7; Over/Under:  67.5 points

 

North Carolina Tar Heels:  5-1 (2-0) (1st place, ACC Coastal)

Duke Blue Devils:  4-2 (1-1) (4th place, ACC Coastal)

 

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North Carolina Tar Heels:  won their last game on the road against the Miami Hurricanes 27-24.

Duke Blue Devils:  lost their last game on the road against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 23-20 in overtime.

 

UNC is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 3-0 in their road games this year. This will also be their 3rd conference game of the college football season this year as they are 2-0. They won against the Miami Hurricanes in their last game on the road 27-24. Drake Maye started that game at QB and he completed 19/28 passes for 309 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Caleb Hood led the team in rushing with 74 yards on 13 rushing attempts. JJ Jones led the team in receiving with 80 yards and 1 TD on 2 receptions. Power Echols led the defense in that game with 12 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Deandre Boykins and Noah Taylor each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Deandre Boykins came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Duke is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th home game of the season as they are 3-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 3rd conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-1. They lost against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets in their last game on the road 23-20 in OT. Riley Leonard started that game at QB and he completed 20/42 passes for 136 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jaquez Moore led the team in rushing with 59 yards on 12 carries. Jontavis Robertson led the team in receiving with 41 yards on 3 receptions. DeWayne Carter led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. RJ Oben led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has gotten off to a very hot start this year, they have lost a few games now but those were both on the road as they are still undefeated at home. They have put together a very good team and they are not going to just roll over on their own field here. UNC is currently leading their division in the ACC as they have been having a great year putting up a lot of points in their games, but their defense hasn't been that good and they have given up a lot of points in those games too. Even if they get out to a big lead here on the road their defense will not be able to hold it against this Duke offense and this is a game that they could end up getting upset in against a good home team in Duke. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game as they are a live dog here.

 

North Carolina Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 15, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 38 UNC 34.

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North Carolina Tar Heels: 26-18 UNDER as a road favorite. 16-9 UNDER as a road favorite of 7 points or less. 14-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63. 

Duke Blue Devils: 0-8 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 63. 5-13 ATS as an underdog. 14-9 UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 63.

 

 

North Carolina Tar Heels:  J. Conley (DB) Late Oct - Lower Body. S. Cheeks (LB) out for season - Shoulder. T. Craft (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness. B. Brooks (RB) out for season - Lower Body.

Duke Blue Devils:  J. Calhoun (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

 

 

"It's amazing how hard young people fight to win a football game. I've often said, whoever makes scoreboards is just not fair. Miami didn't lose the game. They just ran out of time." - Mack Brown after his team’s win against Miami-FL in their last game.

 

 

"The reality is we just didn't make enough plays to win a game on the road in the ACC. We've got to execute better; we've got to be able to run the football a little bit better; we've got to be able to make some more plays on defense." - Mike Elko after his team’s loss against GA Tech in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Green, Antoine

WR Blackwell, Gavin 

WR Downs, Josh 

TE Morales, Kamari

QB Maye, Drake

RB Jones, D.J. 

 

WR Calhoun, Jalon

WR Pancol, Eli 

WR Moore, Jordan 

TE Dalmolin, Nicky 

QB Leonard, Riley

RB Waters, Jordan 

 

 

Passing: D. Maye (1903)

Rushing: O. Hampton (329)

Receiving: J. Downs (299)

Touchdowns: O. Hampton (6)

 

Passing: R. Leonard (1312)

Rushing: J. Coleman (308)

Receiving: J. Calhoun (356)

Touchdowns: J. Coleman (4)

 

Coaches:

North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (4th season, 14th season non-consecutive)

Duke Blue Devils: Mike Elko (1st season)