by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Clemson, SC
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UNC +7, Clemson -7; Over/Under: 58 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UNC +7, Clemson -7; Over/Under: 58.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UNC +7, Clemson -7; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Season Record
North Carolina Tar Heels: 8-2 (4-2) (3rd place, ACC)
Clemson Tigers: 6-4 (3-4) (9th place, ACC)
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North Carolina Tar Heels: won their last game at home against the Duke Blue Devils in overtime 47-45.
Clemson Tigers: won their last game at home against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 42-21.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs Clemson Tigers Preview and Analysis
North Carolina is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Duke 47-45 in OT. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 28/43 passes for 342 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Omarion Hampton led the team in rushing yards with 169 and 1 TD. Devontez Walker led the receivers with 162 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Don Chapman led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Don Chapman and Myles Murphy each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Clemson is entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 3-4 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Georgia Tech 42-21. Cade Klubnik was the starting QB and he completed 23/34 passes for 205 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Phil Mafah led the team in rushing yards with 96. Beaux Collins led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jeremiah Trotter Jr. led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jeremiah Trotter Jr, DeMonte Capehart, Wade Woodaz, and Justin Mascoll each led the defense in sacks with 1. Shelton Lewis, Khalil Barnes, Kylon Griffin, and Avieon Terrell each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
North Carolina vs Clemson Prediction
The current betting odds have North Carolina listed as a 7 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UNC has looked really good this season with their 8-2 record overall and they are also 4-2 in their conference games. They have not been blowing teams out in their wins lately but they still have a really good team with a great offense that is going to put up points in this game. Clemson hasn't looked great this season with their 6-4 record overall and all of their losses have come in the conference as they are only 3-4 against ACC opponents. They just blew out GA Tech in their last game and have looked a lot better lately with a nice win against Notre Dame at home the week before too, but the way Clemson has played this season, specifically on offense, they can't be laying points in this game against a team as good as UNC. North Carolina is going to bring their best effort for Clemson here and they are good enough to pull off an upset win in this game or keep it close if they don't. The best way to place a bet here is on North Carolina to cover the spread in this game.
North Carolina Clemson Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is UNC 35 Clemson 31.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
North Carolina Tar Heels: 1-9 ATS off a big home win scoring 38 or more points. 2-7 ATS after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 15-6 UNDER after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 3 straight games. 24-13 UNDER after allowing 42 points or more last game.
Clemson Tigers: 50-28 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite. 24-18 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins. 31-18 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs. 29-20 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive overs. 13-5 UNDER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
Key Injuries
North Carolina Tar Heels: T. Holloway (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Hood (RB) Ques Sat - Upper Body. G. Pettaway (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Coe (PK) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Cowan (DL) out for season - Upper Body. B. Kiernan (P) out for season - Lower Body. K. Paysour (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Randolph (TE) out for season - Lower Body.
Clemson Tigers: B. Spector (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. B. Carter (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Jones (CB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Phillips (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Tate (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Ennis (TE) out for season - Knee. J. Haynes (RB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Williams (WR) Out indefinitely - Toe. W. Parks (OL) out for season - Lower Body. M. Kelley (UT) out for season - Redshirt. V. Burley (DL) out for season - Knee. C. Turner (WR) out for season - Hip.
Notable Quotes
“This will be one they remember for the rest of their lives on Senior Night.” - Mack Brown after his team’s win against Duke in their last game.
“It's fun to see him grow just before our eyes.” - Dabo Swinney on Cade Klubnik after his team’s win against GA Tech in their last game.
Starting Lineups
North Carolina Tar Heels
WR Walker, Devontez
WR Jones, J.J.
WR McCollum, Nate
TE Copenhaver, John
QB Maye, Drake
RB Hampton, Omarion
Clemson Tigers
WR Randall, Adam
WR Collins, Beaux
WR Brown, Tyler
TE Briningstool, Jake
QB Klubnik, Cade
RB Shipley, Will
Statistical Leaders
North Carolina Tar Heels
Passing: D. Maye (3145)
Rushing: O. Hampton (1236)
Receiving: D. Walker (600)
Touchdowns: O. Hampton (14)
Clemson Tigers
Passing: C. Klubnik (2261)
Rushing: P. Mafah (721)
Receiving: B. Collins (510)
Touchdowns: P. Mafah (8)
Coaches:
North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (5th season)
Clemson Tigers: Dabo Swinney (16th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
