North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 04/06/2024

Game Time: 6:09 pm ET, Saturday, April 6, 2024

Venue:  State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  NCSU +9, Purdue -9; Over/Under:  146 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  NCSU +9, Purdue -9; Over/Under:  146 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  NCSU +9.5, Purdue -9.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  26-14 (9-11) (10th place, ACC)

Purdue Boilermakers:  33-4 (17-3) (1st place, Big Ten)

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North Carolina State Wolfpack:  5-0  last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

NC State is entering this game with a 26-14 record overall, a 9-11 record in conference games, and they are 10-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Duke Blue Devils in their last game. DJ Burns Jr. led the team in points per game in that game with 29 while DJ Horne was next on the team with 20. Michael O'Connell led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Michael O'Connell led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 46.7% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72 PPG against them. NC State has an ATS record of 20-19-1 this season and their O/U record is 23-16-1.

Purdue is entering this game with a 33-4 record overall, a 17-3 conference record, and they are 10-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points in that game with 40 while Fletcher Loyer was next on the team with 14. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 45.3% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 20-15-2 this season and their O/U record is 23-14.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 9 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked great in their games all season with their 33-4 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked as one of the best in the nation. They have looked great in the Big Ten with their 17-3 conference record which led the way and they are also 10-1 in their neutral site games this year. Meanwhile, NC State has also looked really good in their games this season with their 26-14 record overall, but they haven't been in the rankings all season and they really struggled in the ACC too. They have looked great in their neutral site games this year with their 10-2 record in those, but this is still a team that had a 9-11 conference record and couldn't really compete with the strongest teams in their conference all season. NC State has been really hot lately as they have gone on a big run in this tournament and in the ACC Tournament which they won, but Purdue has also looked unstoppable at times in this tournament. Edey has been a big force on the court for Purdue and even with DJ Burns playing lights out, this is going to be a really tough task for NC State to slow down Purdue. NC State might keep this game close at first as they have been doing lately, but eventually Purdue will pull away in this game with the talent they have along with the deeper bench. NC State has played well in this tournament but this is where their run comes to an end. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.

North Carolina State Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, April 6, 2024 (6:09 pm ET start time) is Purdue 78 NC State 64.

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North Carolina State Wolfpack: 16-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 8-23 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 15-25 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers. 14-6 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 10-5 OVER after 2 or more consecutive unders. 7-1 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Purdue Boilermakers: 9-2 ATS in all neutral court games. 12-2 ATS in non-conference games. 11-3 ATS after a game forcing the opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers. 23-14 OVER in all games. 22-13 OVER as a favorite. 11-2 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders.

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  L. Thomas (G) out for season - Personal. D. Parker Jr. (G) Out indefinitely - Illness. M. Rice (G) out for season - Redshirt.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

“These guys are so special. Nine elimination games or you go home.” - Kevin Keatts after his team’s win against Duke in their last game in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday.

“We had to take it. Sometimes when you sit in it and you’re honest with yourself and you take it, some great things can happen.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against Tennessee in their last game in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday.

D. Burns 

M. Diarra 

D. Horne 

C. Morsell 

M. O'Connell

Z. Edey 

L. Jones 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: D. Horne (16.8)

APG: M. O'Connell (3)

Reb/G: M. Diarra (6.6)

PPG: Z. Edey (24.2)

APG: B. Smith (7.2)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (11.7)

Coaches:

North Carolina State Wolfpack: Kevin Keatts (7th season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (19th season)