North Carolina State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/16/2024

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, March 16, 2024

Venue:  Capital One Arena, Washington, DC

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  NCSU +9, UNC -9; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  NCSU +9, UNC -9; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  NCSU +9, UNC -9; Over/Under:  148.5 points

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  21-14 (9-11) (10th place, ACC)

North Carolina Tar Heels:  27-6 (17-3) (1st place, ACC)

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North Carolina State Wolfpack:  4-1  last 5

North Carolina Tar Heels:  5-0  last 5

NC State is entering this game with a 21-14 record overall, a 9-11 record in conference games, and they are 7-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Virginia Cavaliers in their last game. DJ Burns Jr. led the team in points per game in that game with 19 while Michael O'Connell and Ben Middlebrooks each were next on the team with 12. Michael O'Connell led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Mohamed Diarra led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 48.3% from the field, 17.6% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.8 PPG against them. NC State has an ATS record of 15-18-1 this season and their O/U record is 19-14-1.

North Carolina is entering this game with a 27-6 record overall, a 17-3 conference record, and they are 5-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Pittsburgh Panthers in their last game. RJ Davis led the team in points in that game with 25 while Armando Bacot was next on the team with 19. Seth Trimble led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Armando Bacot led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 43.3% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70 PPG against them. North Carolina has an ATS record of 19-14 this season and their O/U record is 15-17-1.

The current betting odds have North Carolina listed as a 9 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. North Carolina has looked great in their games this season with their 27-6 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked inside the top 10. They have looked great in the ACC all year with their 17-3 conference record which leads the way and they have also looked good in their neutral site games as they are 5-3 in those games. Meanwhile, NC State hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 21-14 record overall and their 9-11 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the ACC. They have looked great in their neutral site games this season with their 7-2 record in those, but they are in a very difficult situation here since they have been playing so many days in a row now. UNC is also going to be on a back-to-back here but they have still had a lot more rest in this tournament and they have all the momentum on their side right now since they are 5-0 in their last 5 games. They also know that a number 1 seed for the NCAA Tournament is still up for grabs so they will be looking to make a case for themselves as that team with a strong performance in this finals for the ACC Tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on North Carolina to cover the spread in this game.

North Carolina State North Carolina Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 16, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is UNC 84 NC State 67.

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North Carolina State Wolfpack: 13-25 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 19-34 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 3-8 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers. 13-7 OVER in all neutral court games. 10-5 OVER after a game where they covered the spread. 7-0 OVER after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse.

North Carolina Tar Heels: 26-16 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. 11-6 ATS after 4 straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more. 9-5 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 17-9 OVER in all neutral court games. 10-6 OVER in tournament championship games.

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  D. Parker Jr. (G) Ques Fri - Illness. L. Thomas (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Rice (G) out for season - Redshirt.

North Carolina Tar Heels:  None.

“I had a direct view of it. As it went up I was like, man, that shot is going in, it’s going in, and then luckily it did and obviously sent us to overtime.” - Kevin Keatts after his team’s win against UVA in their last game on Friday.

“We set goals in the beginning of the year, and for us to be one more game away means a lot. But the job’s not finished.” - Hubert Davis after his team’s win against Pitt in their last game on Friday.

D. Burns 

D. Horne 

C. Morsell 

D. Parker, Jr. 

J. Taylor

A. Bacot 

E. Cadeau 

R. Davis 

H. Ingram 

C. Ryan

PPG: D. Horne (16.8)

APG: M. O'Connell (3)

Reb/G: M. Diarra (6.6)

PPG: R. Davis (21.1)

APG: E. Cadeau (4)

Reb/G: A. Bacot (10.1)

Coaches:

North Carolina State Wolfpack: Kevin Keatts (7th season)

North Carolina Tar Heels: Hubert Davis (3rd season)