by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 12, 2025
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 15, 2025
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: NCSU +14.5, Miami-FL -14.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: NCSU +14.5, Miami-FL -14.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: NCSU +14.5, Miami-FL -14.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
North Carolina State Wolfpack: 5-4 (2-3) (11th place, ACC)
Miami Hurricanes: 7-2 (3-2) (7th place, ACC)
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North Carolina State Wolfpack: won their last game at home against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 48-36.
Miami Hurricanes: won their last game at home against the Syracuse Orange 38-10.
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Miami Hurricanes Preview and Analysis
NC State is entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Georgia Tech 48-36. CJ Bailey was the starting QB and he completed 24/32 passes for 340 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jayden Scott led the team in rushing yards with 196 and 1 TD. Teddy Hoffmann led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Asaad Brown Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Caden Fordham, Cian Slone, Kenny Soares Jr., and Chase Bond each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Caden Fordham came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Miami-Florida is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Syracuse 38-10. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 18/24 passes for 247 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Girard Pringle Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 55 and 1 TD. Keelan Marion led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Jakobe Thomas led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Akheem Mesidor led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Jakobe Thomas and Keionte Scott each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
North Carolina State vs Miami Prediction
The current betting odds have Miami listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Miami has looked good in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the ACC. They need a lot to go their way to make the ACC Championship with those 2 losses, but they are still the highest ranked ACC team. Meanwhile, NC State has looked good in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall, but their 2-3 conference record has them lower in the ACC. They are off a big win over Georgia Tech in their last one, handing them their first loss of the season, and now they are coming out of their bye week with extra time to prepare. They haven't been a good road team though with their 1-3 road record this season and their defense hasn't looked great either. Miami has lost some bad games, but they still have a lot more potential and a great offense that is going to put up a ton of points at home. They are off a 38-10 win over Syracuse in their last one, their defense looking a lot better in that game, and they have no more margin for error so they are going to bring their best effort in every game. Miami also has a 6-1 home record this season and they are going to continue rolling in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on Miami to cover the spread in this game.
North Carolina State Miami Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 15, 2025 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Miami 35 NC State 7.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
North Carolina State Wolfpack: 4-8 ATS off a home win. 0-6 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 5-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 7-2 OVER as a road underdog. 8-3 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56.
Miami Hurricanes: 11-4 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-3 ATS off a home win by 17 points or more. 8-3 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-3 OVER in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 11-6 OVER after scoring 37 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
North Carolina State Wolfpack: H. Smothers (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Stokes III (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Sowells Jr. (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Barnhardt (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Fagan (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Joly (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Brown (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Mitchell (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. West (OT) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Dixon (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Wilson (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Richardson (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Paylor (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. I. Crowell (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Royal III (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Sensabaugh (CB) Out - Undisclosed. T. Hinton (S) Out - Undisclosed.
Miami Hurricanes: M. Bryant (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Schott (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Johnson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Daniels (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Fletcher Jr. (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. O. Frederique Jr. (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Nickel (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Robinson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Lowe (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Moten Sr. (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“Resiliency is what this place is about. It’s why I’ve always loved N.C. State. It’s definitely a part of my DNA. The harder it gets, sometimes I think the better we are.” - Dave Doeren after his team’s win against GA Tech in their last game.
“When Miami's on, Miami really distinguishes itself as one of the better teams.” - Mario Cristobal after his team’s win against Syracuse in their last game.
Starting Lineups
North Carolina State Wolfpack
WR Grimes, Wesley
WR Rogers, Noah
WR Jackson, Keenan
TE Joly, Justin
QB Bailey, CJ
RB Smothers, Hollywood
Miami Hurricanes
WR Marion, Keelan
WR Daniels, CJ
WR Toney, Malachi
TE Bauman, Alex
QB Beck, Carson
RB Fletcher Jr., Mark
Statistical Leaders
North Carolina State Wolfpack
Passing: CJ Bailey (2,411)
Rushing: Hollywood Smothers (825)
Receiving: Terrell Anderson (527)
Touchdowns: Hollywood Smothers (7)
Miami Hurricanes
Passing: Carson Beck (2,194)
Rushing: Mark Fletcher Jr. (636)
Receiving: Malachi Toney (644)
Touchdowns: Mark Fletcher Jr. (9)
Coaches:
North Carolina State Wolfpack: Dave Doeren (13th season)
Miami Hurricanes: Mario Cristobal (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
