North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/14/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 14, 2023

Venue:  Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC

Where to Watch:  ACC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  NCSU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  44 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  NCSU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  44 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  NCSU +3, Duke -3; Over/Under:  43.5 points

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  4-2 (1-1) (7th place, ACC)

Duke Blue Devils:  4-1 (1-0) (4th place, ACC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 81-43 his last 124 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  won their last game at home against the Marshall Thundering Herd 48-41.

Duke Blue Devils:  lost their last game at home against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish 21-14.

NC State is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Marshall 48-41. MJ Morris was the starting QB and he completed 17/32 passes for 265 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Michael Allen led the team in rushing yards with 70 and 1 TD. Kevin "KC" Concepcion led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Payton Wilson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Davin Vann and Brandon Cleveland each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Robert Kennedy came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Duke is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Notre Dame 21-14. Riley Leonard was the starting QB and he completed 12/27 passes for 134 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Riley Leonard led the team in rushing yards with 88. Jordan Moore led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Tre Freeman led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Jamion Franklin led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked really good this season with their 4-1 record overall as they almost beat Notre Dame in their last game but still have a win over Clemson this year. They lost to Notre Dame but they are still 1-0 in conference play this season and they will be looking to bounce back at home coming off their bye. NC State is 4-2 this season but they are only 1-1 in conference games since they have been beating up on much worse teams in their wins. They also just made a change at QB in their last game and he looked really good in their win over Marshall but this will be his 1st conference game of the season as the starter and there is going to be a lot more pressure on the road against a much better Duke team. Duke has the better offense and the better defense here, they will get the bounce back win at home off their bye. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game. 

North Carolina State Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 14, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Duke 24 NCSU 14.

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North Carolina State Wolfpack: 3-9 ATS in road games. 1-6 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 3-12 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games. 6-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 UNDER in road games. 10-5 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45.

Duke Blue Devils: 32-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 7-1 ATS as a home favorite. 9-4 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 16-5 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  R. Ashford (S) out for season - Knee. K. Raphael (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Harris (S) out for season - Pectoral.

Duke Blue Devils:  G. Barton (OL) Ques Sat - Upper Body. R. Leonard (QB) Ques Sat - Leg. E. Pancol (WR) Out indefinitely - Lower Body.

“He gave us the spark we needed. He’s a mentally tough young man. Wouldn’t expect anything less from him. He’s going to respond – that’s who he is – when he gets in a tough situation, he’s going to fight.” - Dave Doeren on MJ Morris after his team’s win against Marshall in their last game. 

“The resiliency and the character of this team is unquestioned. I think you saw that again in the second half. I thought they battled their tails off, they fought and they fought and they got themselves back in a position where we had a chance to win the game.” - Mike Elko after his team’s loss against Notre Dame in their last game. 

WR Timmons Jr., Terrell 

WR Lesane, Keyon 

WR Concepcion, Kevin 

WR Gray, Julian

TE Pennix, Trent  

QB Morris, MJ 

RB Allen, Michael  

WR Hagans, Sahmir  

WR Moore, Jordan

WR Calhoun, Jalon 

TE Dalmolin, Nicky 

QB Leonard, Riley 

RB Coleman, Jaylen

Passing: B. Armstrong (971)

Rushing: B. Armstrong (281)

Receiving: K. Concepcion (347)

Touchdowns: D. Mimms III (6)

Passing: R. Leonard (912)

Rushing: R. Leonard (326)

Receiving: J. Moore (313)

Touchdowns: J. Waters (8)

Coaches:

North Carolina State Wolfpack: Dave Doeren (11th season)

Duke Blue Devils: Mike Elko (2nd season)