North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/31/2024

Game Time: 5:05 pm ET, Sunday, March 31, 2024

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  NCSU +6, Duke -6; Over/Under:  143 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  NCSU +6, Duke -6; Over/Under:  143 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  NCSU +6.5, Duke -6.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  25-14 (9-11) (10th place, ACC)

Duke Blue Devils:  27-8 (15-5) (2nd place, ACC)

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North Carolina State Wolfpack:  5-0  last 5

Duke Blue Devils:  3-2  last 5

NC State is entering this game with a 25-14 record overall, a 9-11 record in conference games, and they are 9-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Marquette Golden Eagles in their last game. DJ Horne led the team in points per game in that game with 19 while Casey Morsell was next on the team with 15. DJ Burns Jr. led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Mohamed Diarra led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 46.4% from the field, 39.1% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.2 PPG against them. NC State has an ATS record of 19-19-1 this season and their O/U record is 23-15-1.

Duke is entering this game with a 27-8 record overall, a 15-5 conference record, and they are 5-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Houston Cougars in their last game. Kyle Filipowski led the team in points in that game with 16 while Jeremy Roach was next on the team with 14. Jared McCain and Tyrese Proctor each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Kyle Filipowski led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 40.8% from the field, 35.3% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 21-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-22.

The current betting odds have Duke listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Duke has looked really good in their games this season with their 27-8 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked really good in the ACC this season with their 15-5 conference record which had them right near the top. They have looked great in their neutral site games this year with their 5-1 record in those, but that 1 loss came in the ACC Conference Tournament and it was against this very same team. Meanwhile, NC State has looked good in their games this season with their 25-14 record overall, but they haven't looked great in the ACC. They have looked great in their neutral site games with their 9-2 record in those, but a lot of those wins have come in these postseason tournaments as they also won the ACC Tournament. They have looked really hot lately with their long win streak which started in the ACC Tournament, but eventually they are going to run out of gas as they start to face better teams. Duke is also a team that beat them easily on the road this season and Duke's last loss came to NC State in the ACC Tournament so they will be looking to bounce back in a big way here as they punch their ticket to the Final Four. The best way to place a bet here is on Duke to cover the spread in this game. 

North Carolina State Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, March 31, 2024 (5:05 pm ET start time) is Duke 77 NC State 64.

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North Carolina State Wolfpack: 15-26 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 12-24 ATS after a non-conference game. 14-5 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 8-3 OVER in all neutral court games. 6-1 OVER off an upset win as an underdog.

Duke Blue Devils: 20-11 ATS as a favorite. 6-2 ATS when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament. 8-3 OVER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 6-0 OVER after allowing 55 points or less 3 straight games. 

North Carolina State Wolfpack:  L. Thomas (G) out for season - Personal. D. Parker Jr. (G) Out indefinitely - Illness. M. Rice (G) out for season - Redshirt.

Duke Blue Devils:  C. Foster (G) out for season - Foot. C. Reeves (C) out for season - Ankle. J. Schutt (G) out for season - Redshirt.

“We don't have to talk about that history because we celebrate it the entire time. It's been talked about since I've been here, and it's going to be talked about as long as we ever are going to remember.” - Kevin Keatts after his team’s win against Marquette in their last game in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on Friday.

“Any questions about their mental toughness or their heart, I think they answered those tonight.” - Jon Scheyer after his team’s win against Houston in their last game in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on Friday.

D. Burns 

D. Horne 

C. Morsell 

D. Parker, Jr. 

J. Taylor

K. Filipowski 

J. McCain 

M. Mitchell 

T. Proctor 

J. Roach

PPG: D. Horne (16.8)

APG: M. O'Connell (3)

Reb/G: M. Diarra (6.6)

PPG: K. Filipowski (16.7)

APG: T. Proctor (3.7)

Reb/G: K. Filipowski (8)

Coaches:

North Carolina State Wolfpack: Kevin Keatts (7th season)

Duke Blue Devils: Jon Scheyer (2nd season)