NFL Week 4 Break Down

by AAA Sports

Tuesday, Sep 27, 2022
Week 4

BEST GAME – Kansas City at Tampa Bay (+2.5)

Kansas City 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS
Tampa Bay 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS
Patrick Mahomes is arguing with coaches. Tom Brady is destroying tablets. What will one of these guys do when one of them loses Sunday night and falls to .500? Light the stadium on fire? KC appears to be having all sorts of trouble after a non-existent running game and disastrous special teams play led to a loss to the Colts. Andy Reid is taking the hit for the Keystone Kops debacle, but the players have a lot of clean up. Speaking of cleaning up messes, Brady’s Bucs went nearly an entire game without a touchdown, then completely fudged up the potential 2-point conversion in a loss to the Packers. Who’s more pissed in the family – Gisele or TB12?

– New York Jets at Pittsburgh (-3.5)

New York 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS
Pittsburgh 1-2 SU 1-1-1 ATS
Don’t expect a lot of great quarterback play in this one. Zach Wilson might make his season debut (just waiting for doctors to clear him), and the Jets will no doubt protect him by staying on the ground as long as they can move the chains. If he can’t go, it’s another dose of Joe Flacco. In Pittsburgh, there is some pressure to bench vet Mitch Trubisky and see what they have in rookie Kenny Pickett. Mike Tomlin is not the panicking kind, but if they fall to 1-3 on Sunday, it might be time for someone else under center.

BIGGEST SPREAD – New England at Green Bay (-10.5)

New England 1-2 SU, 0-2-1 ATS
Green Bay 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS
The Patriots were finally able to put some points on the board, but still were trounced at home by the Ravens. And now they travel to Green Bay with the very real possibility that Break-Glass-in-Case-of-Emergency quarterback Brian Hoyer will be starting his first game since Week 4 of the 2020 season. NE is tight-lipped about the status of QB Mac Jones (high ankle sprain, on top of a back injury suffered in Week 2), but why risk the health of the future of your franchise in a game that is probably unwinnable anyway? BTW, the last time the Pats were double-digit dogs was in the 2002 Super Bowl, when they were +14.5 and beat the Rams.

SMALLEST SPREAD – Denver at Las Vegas (-1.5)

Denver 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS
Las Vegas 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS
Is it too late for Josh McDaniels to return to New England? Might be able to solve problems for both franchises. McDaniels was called on the carpet by owner Mark Davis after LV went 1 for 12 on third down and could score only twice in six red zone trips in a loss to Tennessee. Yikes. The books are betting on the losing streak to end, always a dangerous strategy. What should concern McDaniels is that through three games Russell Wilson hasn’t really been Russell Wilson, and this could be the game that that happens.

LARGEST TOTAL – Buffalo at Baltimore (51.5)

Buffalo 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS
Baltimore 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS
Right now Lamar Jackson is the best player in the National Football League. Whoever is No. 2 is so far behind that no one really cares. Jackson had three touchdown passes and more than 100 yards rushing vs. New England, something no one else has done more than once. The Bills have too much talent and pride to play a field position game in this one, so a wide-open battle can be expected.

SMALLEST TOTAL – New England at Green Bay (39.5)

This one opened at 42.5, but dropped three points on the news that Mac Jones was dealing with a high ankle sprain. The Patriots won’t talk about the injury, but the entire league knows that the Patriots will try to grind this one out whether or not Jones is a go. Green Bay’s offense appears to have taken a step back as well.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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