NFL Season Long Player Props

by ASA, Inc.

Tuesday, Sep 06, 2022
NFL Offensive Player Props

Jameis Winston - Over 3750.50 Passing Yards 

Contrary to popular belief, Jameis has been very productive over the first years of his career. During his five years in Tampa, he surpassed 4,000 yards twice and 5,000 yards once. He sat behind Brees for a year and tore his ACL early last season after a hot start for the Saints. He has the best supporting cast of his career with a great O-line, and great receivers. New Orleans will have a powerful offense and 4,000 yards should be easy for Winston to hit if he remains healthy. 

Daniel Jones - Under 3650.50 Passing Yards 

Jones has been a disappointment in the first three years of his NFL career. The Giants have not helped their young QB at all and have been a bad organization from roster construction to coaching changes. Jones barely eclipsed 3,000 yards in his rookie season in 2019, and has not surpassed that total the past two years. This may be the year that the wheels fall off all together. 

Aaron Jones - Over 750.50 Rushing Yards

The Packers lost Davante Adams this offseason, which allows for Green Bay to become a much more run heavy team. Many may see the emergence of A.J. Dillion as bad news for Aaron Jones, but that is quite the opposite. Dillion taking more bruising runs between the tackles allows Jones to remain fresh and slice and dice to a more efficient season. With 17 games, Jones would only need about 45 rushing yards per game to hit the over, which seems very achievable. 

Elijah Mitchell - Under 950.50 Rushing Yards  

San Francisco has always used a bevy of running backs in years past, but Mitchell seems the clear cut number one back for 2022. The situation seems ripe for Mitchell, but the 49ers have not had a 1,000 yard rusher since Frank Gore back in 2014. Shanahan rides the hot hand with his running backs, so if Mitchell gets dinged up (like he did last year) or struggles, the coaching staff will plug in the next man up. 

Drake London - Over 764.50 Receiving Yards 

London was the first receiver off the board in the 2022 draft with a class that was absolutely stacked at the position. Rookie receivers have excelled in recent years, and there are plenty of targets that will flow London’s way. The Falcons will be playing from behind a lot this season and the sheer volume alone will be enough to propel the former USC standout to a near 1,000 yards season. 

Jaylen Waddle - Under 925.50 Receiving Yards 

Waddle had a great rookie year catching over 100 balls. His depth of target was extremely low however, which allowed him to narrowly reach 1,000 yards. The addition of Tyreek Hill is going to eat into Waddles target share, and the coaching change to Mike McDaniel is going to make the Dolphins a more run heavy team. We haven't seen enough from Tua yet to think he can support two 1,000 yards receivers. 

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